Pacers vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Hawks NBA game on January 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pacers
116
132
State Farm Arena
Hawks
State Farm Arena
TEAM1234T
Pacers
38 26 28 24 116
Hawks
34 26 35 37 132
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pacers
    <1%
  • Hawks
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pacers
38 26 28 24 116
Hawks
34 26 35 37 132
Q4 00:22 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:17 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:00 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:53 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:22
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  3. Q4 00:28
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    116-132
  4. Q4 00:56
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    114-130
  5. Q4 1:00
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 1:20
    Quenton Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  7. Q4 1:20
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    114-128
  8. Q4 1:26
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    113-128
  9. Q4 1:26
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  10. Q4 1:26
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  11. Q4 1:26
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Christian Koloko, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye)
  12. Q4 1:46
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  13. Q4 1:53
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 2:17
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    113-125
  15. Q4 2:29
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  16. Q4 2:29
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    110-125
  17. Q4 2:29
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
  18. Q4 2:30
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  19. Q4 2:36
    Pacers turnover
  20. Q4 3:00
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    110-121
  21. Q4 3:08
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  22. Q4 3:28
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
  23. Q4 3:53
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    108-119
  24. Q4 4:11
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  25. Q4 4:14
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 4:17
    Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
  27. Q4 4:51
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    104-117
  28. Q4 5:16
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 5:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  30. Q4 5:29
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 5:49
    +1
    Johnny Furphy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-112
  32. Q4 5:49
    +1
    Johnny Furphy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-112
  33. Q4 5:58
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  34. Q4 6:17
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 6:25
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  36. Q4 6:43
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    102-112
  37. Q4 7:06
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    100-112
  38. Q4 7:22
    +1
    Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    99-109
  39. Q4 7:37
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    98-109
  40. Q4 7:57
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Isaiah Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)
  41. Q4 7:58
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    98-107
  42. Q4 8:05
    Pacers turnover
  43. Q4 8:26
    Christian Koloko defensive rebound
  44. Q4 8:29
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  45. Q4 8:49
    +1
    Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-103
  46. Q4 8:49
    Dyson Daniels misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  47. Q4 8:49
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Isaiah Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  48. Q4 8:58
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    98-102
  49. Q4 8:58
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  50. Q4 9:02
    Hawks turnover
  51. Q4 9:23
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  52. Q4 9:40
    Hawks personal foul
  53. Q4 9:40
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert, Onyeka Okongwu)
  54. Q4 9:40
    +1
    T.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-102
  55. Q4 9:50
    Hawks personal foul
  56. Q4 10:20
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  57. Q4 10:37
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    92-99
  58. Q4 10:53
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 10:59
    Pacers offensive rebound
  60. Q4 11:24
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    92-97
  61. Q4 11:34
    CJ McCollum defensive rebound
  62. Q3 00:00
    Hawks offensive rebound
  63. Q4 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Isaiah Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
  64. Q3 00:02
    Pacers turnover
  65. Q3 00:25
    Micah Potter turnover (offensive foul)
  66. Q3 00:25
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin, Isaiah Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)
  67. Q3 00:42
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    92-93
  68. Q3 00:53
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  69. Q3 1:18
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    92-91
  70. Q3 1:20
    Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
  71. Q3 1:29
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  72. Q3 1:42
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  73. Q3 2:00
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    92-88
  74. Q3 2:13
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-85
  75. Q3 2:30
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  76. Q3 2:41
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  77. Q3 2:47
    Hawks offensive rebound
  78. Q3 2:53
    CJ McCollum defensive rebound
  79. Q3 3:07
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-81
  80. Q3 3:07
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-82
  81. Q3 3:21
    Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  82. Q3 3:21
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-80
  83. Q3 3:24
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  84. Q3 3:43
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  85. Q3 3:45
    Hawks personal foul
  86. Q3 3:45
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
  87. Q3 4:01
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    87-80
  88. Q3 4:06
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  89. Q3 4:25
    CJ McCollum defensive rebound
  90. Q3 4:35
    Hawks turnover
  91. Q3 5:07
    Pacers personal foul
  92. Q3 5:07
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-76
  93. Q3 5:11
    Pacers turnover
  94. Q3 5:23
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    85-74
  95. Q3 5:36
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  96. Q3 6:09
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin, Andrew Nembhard)
  97. Q3 6:09
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko)
  98. Q3 6:16
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    85-70
  99. Q3 6:26
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  100. Q3 6:34
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  101. Q3 6:47
    Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
  102. Q3 7:03
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  103. Q3 7:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  104. Q3 7:15
    Hawks personal foul
  105. Q3 7:15
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    83-70
  106. Q3 7:49
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    81-68
  107. Q3 8:09
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  108. Q3 8:12
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  109. Q3 8:28
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    78-68
  110. Q3 8:36
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  111. Q3 8:43
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  112. Q3 8:50
    Jarace Walker turnover (bad pass)
  113. Q3 9:02
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  114. Q3 9:13
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  115. Q3 9:25
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  116. Q3 9:41
    Hawks personal foul
  117. Q3 9:47
    Hawks personal foul
  118. Q3 9:48
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  119. Q3 9:58
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  120. Q3 10:16
    Pacers personal foul
  121. Q3 10:16
    +1
    Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    73-67
  122. Q3 10:30
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    73-65
  123. Q3 10:57
    Hawks personal foul
  124. Q3 10:57
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-63
  125. Q3 11:15
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    69-60
  126. Q3 11:51
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    67-60
  127. Q2 00:00
    Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
  128. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  129. Q2 00:22
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  130. Q2 00:45
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    64-60
  131. Q2 1:04
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  132. Q2 1:14
    CJ McCollum defensive rebound
  133. Q2 1:16
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  134. Q2 1:33
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    62-58
  135. Q2 1:53
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    62-55
  136. Q2 2:16
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    60-52
  137. Q2 2:39
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  138. Q2 2:56
    CJ McCollum defensive rebound
  139. Q2 2:59
    CJ McCollum defensive rebound
  140. Q2 3:06
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  141. Q2 3:18
    Pacers turnover
  142. Q2 3:25
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  143. Q2 3:33
    Jarace Walker offensive rebound
  144. Q2 3:35
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  145. Q2 3:51
    Hawks turnover
  146. Q2 4:03
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  147. Q2 4:19
    Hawks personal foul
  148. Q2 4:19
    Pacers offensive rebound
  149. Q2 4:19
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu)
  150. Q2 4:34
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  151. Q2 4:38
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  152. Q2 4:49
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  153. Q2 5:16
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    56-49
  154. Q2 5:16
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin)
  155. Q2 5:33
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  156. Q2 5:55
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    52-49
  157. Q2 6:06
    +1
    Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-46
  158. Q2 6:09
    Hawks turnover
  159. Q2 6:24
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  160. Q2 6:35
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  161. Q2 6:38
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    48-46
  162. Q2 6:38
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  163. Q2 6:49
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  164. Q2 6:59
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  165. Q2 7:04
    Jarace Walker misses two point driving reverse layup
  166. Q2 7:13
    Hawks personal foul
  167. Q2 7:42
    Vit Krejci defensive rebound
  168. Q2 7:59
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    46-43
  169. Q2 8:24
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    44-41
  170. Q2 8:33
    Hawks defensive rebound
  171. Q2 8:54
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  172. Q2 8:54
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin, Isaiah Jackson)
  173. Q2 9:02
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  174. Q2 9:25
    Pacers personal foul
  175. Q2 9:25
    +1
    Luke Kennard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-36
  176. Q2 9:45
    Hawks personal foul
  177. Q2 9:54
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  178. Q2 10:08
    Isaiah Jackson offensive rebound
  179. Q2 10:20
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  180. Q2 10:34
    Hawks turnover
  181. Q2 10:36
    Hawks offensive rebound
  182. Q2 10:48
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  183. Q2 11:11
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    40-34
  184. Q2 11:15
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  185. Q2 11:26
    Isaiah Jackson defensive rebound
  186. Q2 11:38
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  187. Q1 00:00
    Hawks offensive rebound
  188. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  189. Q2 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Isaiah Jackson, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
  190. Q1 00:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  191. Q1 00:05
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  192. Q1 00:23
    T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
  193. Q1 00:34
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  194. Q1 00:46
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    38-34
  195. Q1 1:01
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  196. Q1 1:20
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  197. Q1 1:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  198. Q1 1:40
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    35-32
  199. Q1 2:07
    Hawks turnover
  200. Q1 2:15
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  201. Q1 2:25
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    33-29
  202. Q1 2:53
    Pacers personal foul
  203. Q1 2:53
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    30-27
  204. Q1 3:03
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  205. Q1 3:17
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  206. Q1 3:27
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    30-22
  207. Q1 3:46
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    28-20
  208. Q1 4:11
    Pacers turnover
  209. Q1 4:20
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  210. Q1 4:43
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  211. Q1 4:55
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  212. Q1 5:13
    Pacers turnover
  213. Q1 5:37
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    24-17
  214. Q1 6:10
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  215. Q1 6:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  216. Q1 6:10
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko)
  217. Q1 6:28
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  218. Q1 6:48
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    18-13
  219. Q1 6:55
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    18-11
  220. Q1 6:55
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko, Corey Kispert)
  221. Q1 7:03
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  222. Q1 7:10
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  223. Q1 7:16
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  224. Q1 7:35
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  225. Q1 7:48
    Pacers turnover
  226. Q1 7:50
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  227. Q1 8:13
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    16-11
  228. Q1 8:36
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  229. Q1 8:50
    Hawks personal foul
  230. Q1 8:50
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    14-9
  231. Q1 9:11
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    12-6
  232. Q1 9:24
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    10-6
  233. Q1 9:54
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    7-4
  234. Q1 9:59
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  235. Q1 10:25
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    4-2
  236. Q1 10:40
    Pacers defensive rebound
  237. Q1 10:45
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  238. Q1 10:55
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  239. Q1 11:08
    +2
    Andrew Nembhard makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  240. Q1 11:15
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  241. Q1 11:31
    Pacers turnover
  242. Q1 11:39
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  243. Q1 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
  244. Q1 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu)
Box Score
Pacers
PosPlayerPts
Hawks
PosPlayerPts

Pacers vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pacers vs. Hawks
  • Date: Monday, January 26, 2026
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hawks favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pacers +185, Hawks -210

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pacers: 30%
  • Hawks: 70%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 113-119 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 30%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pacers vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.