Wizards vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wizards vs. Kings NBA game on January 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Wizards
99
109
Golden 1 Center
Kings
Golden 1 Center
TEAM1234T
Wizards
22 39 23 15 99
Kings
41 26 34 8 109
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Wizards
    4%
  • Kings
    96%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Wizards
22 39 23 15 99
Kings
41 26 34 8 109
Q4 1:05 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Wizards misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:11 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:16 Wizards misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:23 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:33 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:44 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:10 Kings makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:29
    Zach LaVine defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:36
    AJ Johnson defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:54
    Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
  4. Q4 1:05
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  5. Q4 1:05
    Wizards lineup change (Anthony Gill, Malaki Branham, AJ Johnson, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
  6. Q4 1:24
    Kings turnover
  7. Q4 1:42
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  8. Q4 1:42
    Kings defensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:42
    Wizards violation
  10. Q4 1:49
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 2:07
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  12. Q4 2:24
    DeMar DeRozan offensive rebound
  13. Q4 2:46
    Kings personal foul
  14. Q4 2:46
    Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa)
  15. Q4 2:56
    Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
  16. Q4 3:11
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  17. Q4 3:16
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 3:23
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  19. Q4 3:33
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  20. Q4 3:42
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  21. Q4 3:44
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 4:10
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    99-109
  23. Q4 4:31
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  24. Q4 4:31
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Alex Sarr, Jamir Watkins, Tre Johnson)
  25. Q4 4:33
    Kyshawn George defensive rebound
  26. Q4 4:51
    Wizards turnover
  27. Q4 5:24
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  28. Q4 5:32
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  29. Q4 5:57
    Kings turnover
  30. Q4 6:13
    Kings violation
  31. Q4 6:13
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Alex Sarr, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
  32. Q4 6:29
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    99-109
  33. Q4 6:47
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  34. Q4 6:47
    Wizards personal foul
  35. Q4 6:47
    Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
  36. Q4 6:47
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  37. Q4 6:47
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Maxime Raynaud)
  38. Q4 6:47
    +1
    Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    99-109
  39. Q4 7:09
    Wizards turnover
  40. Q4 7:22
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  41. Q4 7:34
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  42. Q4 7:42
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  43. Q4 7:44
    Dennis Schroder offensive rebound
  44. Q4 7:44
    Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
  45. Q4 7:44
    Domantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  46. Q4 7:44
    Kings offensive rebound
  47. Q4 7:53
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  48. Q4 8:01
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    97-109
  49. Q4 8:05
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  50. Q4 8:21
    +1
    Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    99-109
  51. Q4 8:21
    Will Riley defensive rebound
  52. Q4 8:29
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford)
  53. Q4 8:29
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Malaki Branham, Marvin Bagley III, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
  54. Q4 8:50
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    94-106
  55. Q4 9:10
    Bub Carrington defensive rebound
  56. Q4 9:17
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  57. Q4 9:44
    Domantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)
  58. Q4 9:44
    Instant replay
  59. Q4 10:03
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  60. Q4 10:03
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford)
  61. Q4 10:14
    Kings personal foul
  62. Q4 10:33
    Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
  63. Q4 10:49
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    89-103
  64. Q4 11:29
    Dylan Cardwell turnover (offensive foul)
  65. Q4 11:36
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    87-101
  66. Q4 11:51
    Kings turnover
  67. Q3 00:04
    Jump ball. (Malik Monk gains possession)
  68. Q3 00:08
    Wizards personal foul
  69. Q3 00:08
    Dennis Schroder misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  70. Q3 00:08
    Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Will Riley, Tre Johnson)
  71. Q3 00:08
    Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Will Riley, Tre Johnson)
  72. Q3 00:28
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  73. Q3 00:36
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  74. Q3 00:55
    Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
  75. Q3 1:18
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    84-100
  76. Q3 1:25
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  77. Q3 1:43
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    84-98
  78. Q3 1:47
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  79. Q3 2:05
    AJ Johnson defensive rebound
  80. Q3 2:41
    Kings personal foul
  81. Q3 2:41
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  82. Q3 2:41
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, Domantas Sabonis, Nique Clifford)
  83. Q3 2:46
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  84. Q3 3:02
    Dennis Schroder misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  85. Q3 3:09
    Wizards personal foul
  86. Q3 3:09
    Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
  87. Q3 3:10
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  88. Q3 3:14
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  89. Q3 3:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  90. Q3 3:53
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  91. Q3 4:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  92. Q3 4:00
    Wizards lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
  93. Q3 4:02
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  94. Q3 4:19
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    82-92
  95. Q3 4:41
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    82-90
  96. Q3 4:56
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    80-90
  97. Q3 5:14
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    78-90
  98. Q3 6:03
    Kings 60 second timeout
  99. Q3 6:03
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, AJ Johnson, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
  100. Q3 6:15
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    74-85
  101. Q3 6:26
    Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
  102. Q3 6:39
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    72-82
  103. Q3 7:06
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  104. Q3 7:20
    Kings violation
  105. Q3 7:20
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Alex Sarr, AJ Johnson, Justin Champagnie)
  106. Q3 7:31
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    72-79
  107. Q3 7:35
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  108. Q3 7:46
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  109. Q3 7:53
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  110. Q3 7:59
    Wizards personal foul
  111. Q3 8:12
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    72-77
  112. Q3 8:21
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    69-77
  113. Q3 8:26
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  114. Q3 8:53
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    68-74
  115. Q3 9:03
    Instant replay
  116. Q3 9:03
    Wizards personal foul
  117. Q3 9:03
    DeMar DeRozan turnover
  118. Q3 9:03
    +1
    Kyshawn George makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    68-75
  119. Q3 9:06
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    68-72
  120. Q3 9:25
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    65-72
  121. Q3 9:34
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  122. Q3 9:50
    Alex Sarr defensive rebound
  123. Q3 10:09
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    65-70
  124. Q3 10:37
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    63-70
  125. Q3 10:47
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  126. Q3 10:55
    Wizards personal foul
  127. Q3 10:55
    Kings offensive rebound
  128. Q3 11:18
    Kings personal foul
  129. Q3 11:25
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  130. Q3 11:59
    Kings offensive rebound
  131. Q2 00:00
    Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
  132. Q3 12:00
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Alex Sarr, Tre Johnson, Justin Champagnie)
  133. Q2 00:17
    Wizards personal foul
  134. Q2 00:17
    Kings offensive rebound
  135. Q2 00:17
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford)
  136. Q2 00:56
    Kings turnover
  137. Q2 1:09
    Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
  138. Q2 1:29
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    59-66
  139. Q2 1:33
    Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
  140. Q2 1:46
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  141. Q2 2:03
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    57-63
  142. Q2 2:31
    Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
  143. Q2 2:48
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    55-60
  144. Q2 2:54
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  145. Q2 3:05
    Wizards personal foul
  146. Q2 3:05
    +1
    Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    53-59
  147. Q2 3:05
    Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, Russell Westbrook, Nique Clifford)
  148. Q2 3:15
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    53-58
  149. Q2 3:30
    Kings violation
  150. Q2 3:43
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    51-56
  151. Q2 3:57
    Kings offensive rebound
  152. Q2 3:57
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Nique Clifford)
  153. Q2 3:57
    +1
    Zach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    49-56
  154. Q2 4:03
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    49-55
  155. Q2 4:17
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    46-55
  156. Q2 4:25
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    45-53
  157. Q2 4:34
    Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  158. Q2 4:34
    +1
    Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    43-53
  159. Q2 4:53
    Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
  160. Q2 5:02
    Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
  161. Q2 5:06
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  162. Q2 5:38
    Kings personal foul
  163. Q2 5:38
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa)
  164. Q2 5:38
    +1
    Jamir Watkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    41-52
  165. Q2 5:41
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    39-52
  166. Q2 5:45
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  167. Q2 6:13
    Bub Carrington defensive rebound
  168. Q2 6:27
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    36-50
  169. Q2 6:54
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  170. Q2 7:22
    Wizards personal foul
  171. Q2 7:22
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Malaki Branham, Marvin Bagley III, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
  172. Q2 7:32
    Kings defensive rebound
  173. Q2 7:50
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    33-50
  174. Q2 8:04
    Kings personal foul
  175. Q2 8:04
    +1
    Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    32-47
  176. Q2 8:42
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    31-45
  177. Q2 8:42
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa, Maxime Raynaud)
  178. Q2 8:51
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  179. Q2 9:08
    Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
  180. Q2 9:23
    Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
  181. Q2 9:26
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  182. Q2 10:11
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    24-45
  183. Q2 10:31
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud)
  184. Q2 10:31
    Marvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  185. Q2 10:34
    Kings turnover
  186. Q2 10:37
    Malik Monk defensive rebound
  187. Q2 10:57
    Wizards personal foul
  188. Q2 10:57
    Jamir Watkins turnover (offensive foul)
  189. Q2 11:11
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  190. Q2 11:30
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    23-43
  191. Q2 11:41
    Kings personal foul
  192. Q2 11:41
    +1
    Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-41
  193. Q1 00:00
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  194. Q2 12:00
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Malaki Branham, Marvin Bagley III, Jamir Watkins, Tre Johnson)
  195. Q1 00:10
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  196. Q1 00:26
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-39
  197. Q1 00:34
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  198. Q1 00:48
    Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
  199. Q1 00:54
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  200. Q1 1:02
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  201. Q1 1:18
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
  202. Q1 1:27
    Wizards turnover
  203. Q1 1:56
    +1
    Malik Monk makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    22-34
  204. Q1 2:10
    Kings personal foul
  205. Q1 2:10
    Jamir Watkins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  206. Q1 2:10
    Wizards offensive rebound
  207. Q1 2:31
    +1
    Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-32
  208. Q1 2:31
    Wizards lineup change (Kyshawn George, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Jamir Watkins, Will Riley)
  209. Q1 2:32
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  210. Q1 2:47
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)
    22-31
  211. Q1 3:03
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  212. Q1 3:03
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
  213. Q1 3:03
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Dylan Cardwell, Domantas Sabonis, Nique Clifford)
  214. Q1 3:07
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    22-29
  215. Q1 3:26
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  216. Q1 3:54
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  217. Q1 4:11
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    22-24
  218. Q1 4:44
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  219. Q1 4:44
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  220. Q1 4:44
    Instant replay
  221. Q1 4:47
    Nique Clifford offensive rebound
  222. Q1 5:11
    Kings defensive rebound
  223. Q1 5:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  224. Q1 5:17
    Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
  225. Q1 5:23
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  226. Q1 5:52
    Wizards personal foul
  227. Q1 5:52
    Maxime Raynaud misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  228. Q1 5:52
    Maxime Raynaud misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  229. Q1 6:36
    +1
    Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    15-18
  230. Q1 6:36
    +1
    Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-18
  231. Q1 6:41
    +2
    Precious Achiuwa makes two point dunk (Russell Westbrook assists)
    14-18
  232. Q1 6:56
    +2
    Tre Johnson makes two point driving hook shot
    14-16
  233. Q1 7:30
    Alex Sarr turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  234. Q1 7:34
    Russell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Bub Carrington steals)
  235. Q1 7:50
    +1
    Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    12-13
  236. Q1 8:08
    +3
    Russell Westbrook makes three point jump shot (Precious Achiuwa assists)
    9-13
  237. Q1 8:23
    Alex Sarr defensive rebound
  238. Q1 8:29
    Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
  239. Q1 8:57
    Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
  240. Q1 8:59
    Zach LaVine misses two point running alley-oop layup
  241. Q1 9:16
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    7-7
  242. Q1 9:16
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    7-8
  243. Q1 9:47
    +2
    Zach LaVine makes two point cutting layup (Russell Westbrook assists)
    4-6
  244. Q1 10:03
    +2
    Justin Champagnie makes two point running dunk (Bub Carrington assists)
    4-4
  245. Q1 10:27
    +2
    Kyshawn George makes two point driving layup
    2-4
  246. Q1 10:43
    +2
    Precious Achiuwa makes two point running dunk (Maxime Raynaud assists)
    0-4
  247. Q1 10:57
    Zach LaVine misses three point stepback jump shot
  248. Q1 11:19
    Kyshawn George misses two point driving layup
  249. Q1 11:41
    +2
    DeMar DeRozan makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Maxime Raynaud assists)
    0-2
  250. Q1 12:00
    Alex Sarr vs. Maxime Raynaud (Zach LaVine gains possession)
  251. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Wizards
PosPlayerPts
Kings
PosPlayerPts

Wizards vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Wizards vs. Kings
  • Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Kings favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 235
  • Moneyline Odds: Wizards +222, Kings -265

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Wizards: 28%
  • Kings: 72%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Wizards 113-119 Kings.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wizards a win probability of 28%, while the Kings have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Kings are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Wizards vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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