Toronto vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. St Louis City MLS match on September 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Toronto
1
3
CITYPARK
St Louis City
CITYPARK
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
C. Holse (41')
Soccer ball icon
T. Totland (54')
Soccer ball icon
S. Becher (68')
Soccer ball icon
T. Corbeanu (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces C. Holse
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Corbeanu, assisted by A. Coello
    1-3
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Downs replaces Rafael Navarro
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Edelman replaces A. Matan
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Polvara replaces C. Wallem
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Morgan replaces J. Sargent
  7. 74'
    Yellow Card
    A. Coello (Toronto FC) cautioned
  8. 73'
    Yellow Card
    F. Fall (St. Louis City) cautioned
  9. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Becher, assisted by C. Wallem
    0-3
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: Z. Monlouis replaces D. Etienne
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Osorio replaces N. Dorsch
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces M. Cimermancic
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: N. Gomis replaces W. Zimmerman
  14. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Totland, assisted by A. Matan
    0-2
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces S. Jeong
  16. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Holse, assisted by A. Matan
    0-1
  17. 28'
    Yellow Card
    C. Wallem (St. Louis City) cautioned
  18. 23'
    Yellow Card
    W. Zimmerman (Toronto FC) cautioned

Toronto vs. St Louis City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto 22¢, St Louis City 55¢, draw 23¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (65¢/35¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 18.8%
  • St Louis City: 61.5%
  • Draw: 19.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-2 St Louis City (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Toronto vs. St Louis City? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.5%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-2 St Louis City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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