Cincinnati vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. Houston MLS match on September 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Cincinnati
2
:
2
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
Guilherme (38')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bogusz (pen.) (50')
Soccer ball icon
B. J. Ramirez Leon (73')
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K. Denkey (pen.) (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire replaces Guilherme
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey (pen.)
    2-2
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces G. Valenzuela
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Smith replaces P. Bucha
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces L. Ennali
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Arana replaces H. Herrera
  7. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by B. J. Ramirez Leon, assisted by K. Denkey
    1-2
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces A. Bouzat
  9. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: B. J. Ramirez Leon replaces E. Echenique
  10. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces O. Nwobodo
  11. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces N. Hagglund
  12. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz (pen.)
    0-2
  13. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
    0-1

Cincinnati vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +260, Houston 48¢, draw 25¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (62¢/39¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 25.0%
  • Houston: 52.7%
  • Draw: 22.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-1 Houston (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Cincinnati vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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