Philadelphia vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Sporting KC MLS match on September 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Philadelphia
vs.
Sporting KC
Pre-Game Predictions Last Update:

Moneyline

  • Philadelphia
    56.9%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Draw
    20.6%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Sporting KC
    22.5%
    PolymarketPolymarket

Philadelphia vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia 59¢, Sporting KC 21¢, draw 22¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (68¢/34¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 56.9%
  • Sporting KC: 22.5%
  • Draw: 20.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 2-1 Sporting KC (9.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Philadelphia vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.9%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 2-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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