Toronto vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Dallas MLS match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Toronto
2
3
Toyota Stadium
Dallas
Toyota Stadium
DallasFCD
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
P. Musa (9')
Soccer ball icon
L. Farrington (38')
Soccer ball icon
P. Musa (74')
Soccer ball icon
D. Mihailovic (15')
Soccer ball icon
D. Etienne (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Dallas
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: R. Binyamin replaces C. Cappis
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Edwards (Toronto FC) cautioned
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: A. A. Julio Santos replaces L. Farrington
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: E. Aristizabal replaces K. Franklin
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: H. Wingo replaces D. Etienne
  6. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa
    2-3
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Deedson replaces H. Johansson
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Delgado replaces Kaick
  9. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Etienne
    2-2
  10. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: R. Edwards replaces A. Coello
  11. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Salloi replaces M. Henry
  12. 45'
    Yellow Card
    P. Musa (FC Dallas) cautioned
  13. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Farrington
    1-2
  14. 21'
    Yellow Card
    M. Henry (Toronto FC) cautioned
  15. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Mihailovic
    1-1
  16. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa, assisted by O. Urhoghide
    0-1

Toronto vs. Dallas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +260, Dallas +105, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 24.4%
  • Dallas: 51.2%
  • Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-1 Dallas (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Toronto vs. Dallas? Prediction & correct score

Dallas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.2%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-1 Dallas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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