New England vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the New England vs. Nashville MLS match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
New England
1
4
Geodis Park
Nashville
Geodis Park
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
S. Surridge (5')
Soccer ball icon
S. Surridge (16')
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H. Mukhtar (39')
Soccer ball icon
W. Madrigal (49')
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L. Campana (47')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nashville
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • New England
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces E. Tagseth
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Qasem replaces C. Espinoza
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Pacius replaces S. Surridge
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: I. Feingold replaces K. Hughes
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: A. Yusuf replaces M. Polster
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: M. Corcoran replaces P. Yazbek
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces A. Najar
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: M. Fry replaces G. Yow
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Langoni replaces D. Turgeman
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Muyl replaces W. Madrigal
  11. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by W. Madrigal
    1-4
  12. 48'
    Yellow Card
    G. Yow (New England Revolution) cautioned
  13. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by L. Campana
    1-3
  14. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Beason replaces W. Sands
  15. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar, assisted by W. Madrigal
    0-3
  16. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
    0-2
  17. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge, assisted by W. Madrigal
    0-1

New England vs. Nashville: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Nashville
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Geodis Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +500, Nashville -190, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • New England: 17.0%
  • Nashville: 62.8%
  • Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: New England 1-2 Nashville (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win New England vs. Nashville? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 62.8%.

The most likely correct score is New England 1-2 Nashville.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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