Atlanta vs. Orlando Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlanta vs. Orlando MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Atlanta
1
:
1
Orlando
OrlandoORL
Score Summary
AtlantaATL
G. Dorsey (18')
Soccer ball icon
A. Fortune (86')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orlando
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Atlanta
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by A. Fortune, assisted by M. Edwards
    1-1
  2. 83'
    Yellow Card
    M. Crepeau (Orlando City) cautioned
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: W. Cartagena replaces B. Ojeda
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: C. Togashi replaces F. Picault
  5. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces J. Ellis
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Luis Otavio replaces E. Atuesta
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Gregersen replaces E. Mihaj
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: E. Latte Lath replaces S. Lobjanidze
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: M. Edwards replaces T. Jacob
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: F. Picault replaces W. Reilly
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces M. Pasalic
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Iago Teodoro replaces R. Jansson
  13. 41'
    Yellow Card
    W. Reilly (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  14. 28'
    Yellow Card
    M. Pasalic (Orlando City) cautioned
  15. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by G. Dorsey, assisted by I. Angulo
    0-1

Atlanta vs. Orlando: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlanta vs. Orlando
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta +220, Orlando +115, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-211/+160)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlanta: 25.4%
  • Orlando: 53.5%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlanta 1-2 Orlando (9.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Atlanta vs. Orlando? Prediction & correct score

Orlando is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.5%.

The most likely correct score is Atlanta 1-2 Orlando.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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