St Louis City vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. D.C. United MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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St Louis City
1
:
1
Audi Field
D.C. United
Audi Field
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
Peglow (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Durkin (51')
Soccer ball icon
C. Wallem (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by Peglow
    1-1
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Mbacke replaces S. Becher
  3. 90'
    Red Card
    C. Wallem (St. Louis City) sent off for a second yellow card
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    K. Rowles (DC United) cautioned
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: C. Antley replaces K. Kurokawa
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces J. Hopkins
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Totland replaces Rafael Santos
  8. 70'
    Yellow Card
    S. Hefti (DC United) cautioned
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Cordova replaces S. Jeong
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: E. Lowen replaces C. Teuchert
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Edelman replaces M. Perez
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces M. Peltola
  13. 60'
    Yellow Card
    J. Hopkins (DC United) cautioned
  14. 59'
    Yellow Card
    M. Perez (St. Louis City) cautioned
  15. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Durkin, assisted by S. Jeong
    1-0
  16. 41'
    Yellow Card
    C. Wallem (St. Louis City) cautioned
  17. 28'
    Yellow Card
    F. Fall (St. Louis City) cautioned

St Louis City vs. D.C. United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +240, D.C. United +115, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 30.4%
  • D.C. United: 44.6%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 D.C. United (11.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win St Louis City vs. D.C. United? Prediction & correct score

D.C. United is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.6%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 D.C. United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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