NY City vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
NY City
1
:
1
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
J. Ruvalcaba (44')
Soccer ball icon
A. Perea (52')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • NY City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Farnos replaces A. Ojeda
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces N. Mercau
  3. 86'
    Yellow Card
    T. Parker (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  5. 82'
    Yellow Card
    D. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  6. 77'
    Yellow Card
    N. Cavallo (New York City) cautioned
  7. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: G. Berggren replaces E. Forsberg
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces M. Dos Santos
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Parker replaces J. Che
  10. 68'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  11. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces K. Parks
  12. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by A. Perea, assisted by N. Mercau
    1-1
  13. 49'
    Yellow Card
    K. Parks (New York City) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Jones replaces H. Wolf
  15. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by C. Cowell
    0-1
  16. 39'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Perea replaces M. Moralez
  17. 24'
    Yellow Card
    J. Marshall-Rutty (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  18. 24'
    Yellow Card
    Raul Gustavo (New York City) cautioned

NY City vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +150, NY Red Bulls +170, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 35.7%
  • NY Red Bulls: 41.6%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win NY City vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.6%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on NY City vs. NY Red Bulls, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.