NY City vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
NY City
1
:
1
May 16, 7:30 PM ET Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
May 16, 7:30 PM ET Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
J. Ruvalcaba (44')
Soccer ball icon
A. Perea (52')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • NY City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Farnos replaces A. Ojeda
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces N. Mercau
86'
Yellow Card
T. Parker (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera replaces J. Ruvalcaba
82'
Yellow Card
D. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
77'
Yellow Card
N. Cavallo (New York City) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: G. Berggren replaces E. Forsberg
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces M. Dos Santos
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Parker replaces J. Che
68'
Yellow Card
J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces K. Parks
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by A. Perea, assisted by N. Mercau
1-1
49'
Yellow Card
K. Parks (New York City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Jones replaces H. Wolf
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by C. Cowell
0-1
39'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Perea replaces M. Moralez
24'
Yellow Card
J. Marshall-Rutty (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
Raul Gustavo (New York City) cautioned

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NY City vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +150, NY Red Bulls +170, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 35.7%
  • NY Red Bulls: 41.6%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win NY City vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.6%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on NY City vs. NY Red Bulls, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.