Sep 5, 2026
Seattle Sounders vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/5/2026]
Read Article MLS betting tips: Saturday's picks include NY Red Bulls vs. Seattle play [9/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLS betting tips and picks for Saturday, September 5, 2026.
Today’s MLS betting tips for September 5, 2026 are here, with NY Red Bulls vs. Seattle and LAFC vs. Salt Lake among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s MLS slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest soccer odds to discover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLS betting tips tonight [9/5, updated 6:34AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 MLS best bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, September 5, 2026.
NY Red Bulls vs. Seattle Under 2.5 goals (+223)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 36.4%
- Matchup: NY Red Bulls vs. Seattle (8:30PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Under 2.5 goals in NY Red Bulls vs. Seattle at +223 odds. A 36.4% probability produces an edge of 5.5%, making this the strongest play for today's MLS slate.
LAFC vs. Salt Lake Under 2.5 goals (+138)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 47.2%
- Matchup: LAFC vs. Salt Lake (9:30PM ET)
LAFC vs. Salt Lake under 2.5 goals carries a 5.2% edge and a probability of 47.2% at +138 odds, according to our model.
Cincinnati ML (-156)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 66.1%
- Matchup: D.C. United vs. Cincinnati (7:30PM ET)
Cincinnati ML at -156 odds shows a 5.1% edge, supported by a 66.1% probability in simulations.
New England vs. LA Galaxy under 2.5 goals (+186)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 39.8%
- Matchup: New England vs. LA Galaxy (9:30PM ET)
A 4.8% edge and 39.8% probability make New England vs. LA Galaxy under 2.5 goals a value play in the New England vs. LA Galaxy matchup, per our model.
Dallas ML (-233)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 74.5%
- Matchup: Sporting KC vs. Dallas (8:30PM ET)
Dallas ML at -233 odds presents a 4.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 74.5%.
Houston vs. Charlotte Under 2.5 goals (+127)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 48.5%
- Matchup: Houston vs. Charlotte (7:30PM ET)
Our model finds value on Under 2.5 goals in Houston vs. Charlotte at +127 odds, supported by an edge of 4.5%.
Portland ML (+138)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 46.4%
- Matchup: Minnesota vs. Portland (10:30PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Minnesota-Portland to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +138 odds. A 46.4% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLS action.
Charlotte ML (+133)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 47.2%
- Matchup: Houston vs. Charlotte (7:30PM ET)
A 4.3% edge on a 47.2% probability makes Charlotte to win at +133 odds a solid value play in today's Houston vs. Charlotte matchup.
Sporting KC vs. DallasOver 2.5 goals (-203)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 71.1%
- Matchup: Sporting KC vs. Dallas (8:30PM ET)
Our model projects value on Over 2.5 goals at -203 odds. A 71.1% probability produces a 4.1% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.
Toronto ML (+203)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 37%
- Matchup: Chicago vs. Toronto (7:30PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Toronto to defeat Chicago at +203 odds shows a 37% probability and a 4.0% edge.
MLS best bets summary: Saturday, 9/5/2026
As of 6:34AM ET, here are our top MLS bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY Red Bulls vs. Seattle | Under 2.5 goals | +223 @ Polymarket | 5.5% | 36.4% |
| LAFC vs. Salt Lake | Under 2.5 goals | +138 @ Novig | 5.2% | 47.2% |
| D.C. United vs. Cincinnati | Cincinnati ML | -156 @ Polymarket | 5.1% | 66.1% |
| New England vs. LA Galaxy | Under 2.5 goals | +186 @ Polymarket | 4.8% | 39.8% |
| Sporting KC vs. Dallas | Dallas ML | -233 @ Polymarket | 4.5% | 74.5% |
| Houston vs. Charlotte | Under 2.5 Goals | +127 @ Novig | 4.5% | 48.5% |
| Minnesota vs. Portland | Portland ML | +138 @ Polymarket | 4.3% | 46.4% |
| Houston vs. Charlotte | Charlotte ML | +133 @ Polymarket | 4.3% | 47.2% |
| Sporting KC vs. Dallas | Over 2.5 Goals | -203 @ Polymarket | 4.1% | 71.1% |
| Chicago vs. Toronto | Toronto ML | +203 @ Novig | 4.0% | 37% |
List of upcoming MLS games to bet on [9/5/2026]
- Atlanta vs. Miami (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Colorado vs. Columbus (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Montreal vs. Philadelphia (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Chicago vs. Toronto (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- D.C. United vs. Cincinnati (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Houston vs. Charlotte (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- San Diego FC vs. Orlando (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- San Jose vs. Austin (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
- NY Red Bulls vs. Seattle (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Sporting KC vs. Dallas (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
- LAFC vs. Salt Lake (9:30PM ET, Saturday)
- New England vs. LA Galaxy (9:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Minnesota vs. Portland (10:30PM ET, Saturday)
- St Louis City vs. Vancouver (10:30PM ET, Saturday)
Conclusion
Our MLS best bets are locked and loaded for September 5, 2026, featuring plays such as under 2.5 goals in the NY Red Bulls vs. Seattle matchup and under 2.5 goals in the LAFC vs. Salt Lake matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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