Montreal vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. Philadelphia MLS match on September 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Montreal
0
2
Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
D. Jean Jacques (58')
Soccer ball icon
C. Sullivan (75')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Montreal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bueno (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic replaces B. Damiani
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces C. Sullivan
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces M. Iloski
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces L. Petrasso
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces A. Sanchez
  7. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by C. Sullivan
    0-2
  8. 73'
    Yellow Card
    V. Loturi (CF Montreal) cautioned
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces I. Vassilev
  10. 71'
    Yellow Card
    K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  11. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces J. Lukic
  12. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: V. Loturi replaces S. Piette
  13. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: W. Carmona replaces G. Synchuk
  14. 68'
    Penalty missed by P. Owusu for CF Montreal
  15. 58'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Jean Jacques
    0-1
  16. 57'
    Yellow Card
    D. Bugaj (CF Montreal) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Craig replaces J. Neal
  18. 29'
    Yellow Card
    S. Piette (CF Montreal) cautioned
  19. 24'
    Yellow Card
    B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  20. 14'
    Yellow Card
    G. Synchuk (CF Montreal) cautioned
  21. 7'
    Yellow Card
    J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

Montreal vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal 14¢, Philadelphia 68¢, draw 19¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (68¢/33¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 13.2%
  • Philadelphia: 69.7%
  • Draw: 17.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 0-2 Philadelphia (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Montreal vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 69.7%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 0-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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