San Jose vs. Austin Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Austin MLS match on September 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
San Jose
1
:
1
Q2 Stadium
Austin
Q2 Stadium
AustinAUS
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
Guilherme Biro (90')
Soccer ball icon
B. Leroux (8')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Austin
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • San Jose
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by Guilherme Biro, assisted by C. Ramirez
    1-1
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces E. Lowen
  3. 87'
    Yellow Card
    B. Stuver (Austin FC) cautioned
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces N. Tsakiris
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: Vitor Costa replaces J. Ricketts
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Jasinski replaces B. Kikanovic
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: I. Sanchez replaces M. Desler
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Ramirez replaces J. Alastuey
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: P. Placheta replaces J. Rosales
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd replaces O. Bouda
  11. 65'
    Yellow Card
    R. Roberts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces J. Gallagher
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: J. Bell replaces O. Svatok
  14. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by B. Leroux, assisted by N. Tsakiris
    1-0

San Jose vs. Austin: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Austin
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose 33¢, Austin 41¢, draw 26¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (61¢/+155)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 32.3%
  • Austin: 44.1%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-1 Austin (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win San Jose vs. Austin? Prediction & correct score

Austin is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.1%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-1 Austin.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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