MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Ryan Weathers [7/30/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 30, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Ryan Weathers, Shane McClanahan and Andre Pallante.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Red Sox vs. Athletics and Nationals vs. Braves, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Thursday, 7/30
Sourced from 120+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 30, ranked by probability.
Ryan Weathers under 5.5 hits allowed (-166)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 71.2%
- Game: Yankees vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on NY Yankees' Ryan Weathers under 5.5 hits allowed. A probability of 71.2% gives this play an edge of 8.8% at -166 odds.
Shane McClanahan over 4.5 strikeouts (-160)
- Edge: 9.0%
- Probability: 70.5%
- Game: Rangers vs. Rays (12:10PM ET)
Shane McClanahan’s strikeouts prop shows a 70.5% probability and an 9.0% edge at -160 odds, according to our model.
Andre Pallante under 4.5 strikeouts (-157)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 69.5%
- Game: Cubs vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)
The data highlights value on Andre Pallante under 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 69.5% probability and an 8.4% edge at -157.
Austin Riley over 0.5 bases (-150)
- Edge: 6.1%
- Probability: 66.1%
- Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Our model finds value on Austin Riley over 0.5 bases, with a 66.1% probability and an edge of 6.1% at -150 odds.
Austin Riley to get a hit (-160)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 66.1%
- Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Austin Riley to get a hit for Atlanta, showing an edge of 4.6% at -160 odds.
Eury Pérez under 4.5 hits allowed (-139)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 65.2%
- Game: Marlins vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
Eury Pérez’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 7.0% at -139 odds, supported by a 65.2% probability according to our model.
JP Sears over 1.5 earned runs (-124)
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 64.5%
- Game: Giants vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)
Our model highlights value on JP Sears over 1.5 earned runs for San Diego, with a 64.5% probability and a 9.2% edge at -124 odds.
Sonny Gray over 4.5 strikeouts (-128)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 64.0%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
The data shows value on Sonny Gray over 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 64.0% probability at -128 odds and an edge of 7.9%.
Grant Holmes over 1.5 walks allowed (-133)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 63.7%
- Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
A 6.6% edge on the over 4.5 walks allowed line makes Grant Holmes a value play in Nationals vs. Braves, supported by a 63.7% probability at -133 odds.
Jim Jarvis to get a hit (-148)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 62.7%
- Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Simulations show value on Jim Jarvis to get a hit here, with a 62.7% probability and 3.0% edge at -148 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Thursday, July 30, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 11:25AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees vs. White Sox | Ryan Weathers under 5.5 hits allowed | -166 @ DraftKings | 8.8% | 71.2% |
| Rangers vs. Rays | Shane McClanahan over 4.5 strikeouts | -160 @ BetMGM | 9.0% | 70.5% |
| Cubs vs. Cardinals | Andre Pallante under 4.5 strikeouts | -157 @ DraftKings | 6.1% | 66.1% |
| Nationals vs. Braves | Austin Riley over 0.5 bases | -150 @ Fanatics | 6.1% | 66.1% |
| Nationals vs. Braves | Austin Riley to get a hit | -160 @ Fanatics | 4.6% | 66.1% |
| Marlins vs. Mets | Eury Pérez under 4.5 hits allowed | -139 @ DraftKings | 7.0% | 65.2% |
| Giants vs. Padres | JP Sears over 1.5 earned runs | -124 @ DraftKings | 9.2% | 64.5% |
| Red Sox vs. Athletics | Sonny Gray over 4.5 strikeouts | -128 @ FanDuel | 7.9% | 64.0% |
| Nationals vs. Braves | Grant Holmes over 1.5 walks allowed | -133 @ DraftKings | 6.6% | 63.7% |
| Nationals vs. Braves | Jim Jarvis to get a hit | -148 @ BetRivers | 3.0% | 62.7% |
Conclusion
For July 30, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Ryan Weathers, Shane McClanahan and Andre Pallante. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
