Cubs vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Cardinals MLB game on Thursday, July 30, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Cubs
Javier Assad 6-1, 3.86 ERA
4
2
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Andre Pallante 11-6, 3.77 ERA
Busch Stadium
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Cubs
0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 4 11 0
Cardinals
1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Cardinals
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Lars Nootbaar strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF5020002.4001.200
2 S. Suzuki RF3100021.0000.400
3 M. Busch 1B5021000.4000.800
4 A. Bregman 3B4221010.5001.600
5 I. Happ LF5011000.2000.600
6 N. Hoerner 2B5030000.6001.200
7 A. Civale P0000000.0000.000
8 C. Kelly C4010000.2500.500
9 D. Swanson SS3100012.0000.250
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B5121101.4001.400
2 J. Walker DH5010003.2000.400
3 A. Burleson 1B4010010.2500.650
4 J. Crooks PH1000000.0000.000
5 L. Nootbaar RF4100013.0000.200
6 M. Winn SS3010010.3330.833
7 B. Torres LF4021000.5001.000
8 B. Jordan 3B4010000.2500.500
9 J. Fermín CF2010000.5001.000

Cubs vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026
  • Time: 2:15PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, +167), Cardinals (+1.5, -174)
  • Moneyline: Cubs +104, Cardinals -104
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+104/-102)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 48.8%
  • Cardinals: 51.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 48.8%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 51.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cardinals are more likely to beat the Cubs in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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