MLB postseason player props today: Saturday's best props include Tarik Skubal [10/3/2026]

Tarik Skubal over 0.5 walks allowed (-196)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 69.6%
• Game: Braves vs. Dodgers (4:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Dodgers' Tarik Skubal over 0.5 walks allowed. A probability of 69.6% gives this play an edge of 3.4% at -196 odds.

Gerrit Cole under 5.5 hits allowed (-141)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET)

Gerrit Cole’s hits allowed prop shows a 63.7% probability and an 5.2% edge at -141 odds, according to our model.

Robbie Ray over 3.5 hits allowed (-143)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Game: Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Robbie Ray over 3.5 hits allowed, with simulations showing a 62.4% probability and a 3.5% edge at -143.

Drew Rasmussen under 1.5 walks allowed (-144)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Drew Rasmussen under 1.5 walks allowed, with a 62.1% probability and an edge of 3.1% at -144 odds.

Tarik Skubal under 4.5 hits allowed (-116)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Game: Braves vs. Dodgers (4:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Tarik Skubal under 4.5 hits allowed for Dodgers, showing an edge of 3.1% at -116 odds.

Drew Rasmussen over 1.5 earned runs (-105)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET)

Drew Rasmussen’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 4.1% at -105 odds, supported by a 55.3% probability according to our model.

Jacob Misiorowski under 3.5 hits allowed (-101)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Game: Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Jacob Misiorowski under 3.5 hits allowed for Brewers, with a 54.7% probability and a 4.4% edge at -101 odds.

Austin Wells to get a hit (+110)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 51.5%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET)

The data shows value on Austin Wells to get a hit, supported by a 51.5% probability at +110 odds and an edge of 3.9%.

Ryan McMahon over 0.5 bases (+115)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 49.5%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET)

A 3.0% edge on the over 0.5 bases line makes Ryan McMahon a value play in Yankees vs. Rays, supported by a 49.5% probability at +115 odds.

Ryan McMahon to get a hit (+113)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 49.5%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ryan McMahon to get a hit here, with a 49.5% probability and 2.6% edge at +113 odds.

MLB Playoffs player prop summary: Saturday, October 3, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:39PM ET:

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Conclusion

For October 3, 2026, our MLB postseason prop bets feature players such as Tarik Skubal, Gerrit Cole and Robbie Ray. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.