Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +810 pick for Playoffs Saturday [10/3/2026]

Our analysis shows leads today's MLB home run predictions with a % chance to go deep, followed by (%) and (%).

and are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's playoffs home run picks [10/3/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro spotlights today’s top home run prop.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.8%
• Odds: +810
• Edge: 2.8%
• Pitching matchup: Drew Rasmussen
• More game projections: Yankees vs. Rays prediction (6:30 PM EDT)

Ranked top of today’s home run projections, New York slugger Jazz Chisholm Jr. rates as a value play at +810 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 2.8% edge.

Against Rays starter Drew Rasmussen, the data supports Jr. as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For October 3, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jazz Chisholm Jr. who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.8% edge at +810 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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