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Read Article MLB picks today: Saturday's MLB best bets include Padres vs. Brewers play [10/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Saturday, October 3, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for October 3, 2026 are here, with Padres vs. Brewers and White Sox vs. Guardians among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s MLB postseason slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to uncover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [10/3, updated 3:03AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, October 3, 2026.
Padres vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs (+125)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 50.9%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Padres vs. Brewers at 44¢ odds. A 50.9% probability produces an edge of 6.5%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
White Sox vs. Guardians Over 7 runs (+102)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 55.1%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Guardians (1:00PM ET)
White Sox vs. Guardians over 7 runs carries a 5.6% edge and a probability of 55.1% at +102 odds, according to our model.
Yankees vs. Rays Over 7 runs (-103)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET)
Yankees vs. Rays Over 7 runs at -103 odds shows a 4.5% edge, supported by a 55.3% probability in simulations.
Padres ML (+180)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 39.6%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET)
A 3.9% edge and 39.6% probability makes Padres at the moneyline a value play in the Padres vs. Brewers matchup, per our model.
Padres +1.5 (-117)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 57.6%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET)
Padres +1.5 at 54¢ presents a 3.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.6%.
MLB Playoffs best bets summary: Saturday, 10/3/2026
As of 3:03AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres vs. Brewers | Over 7.5 runs | 44¢ @ Novig | 6.5% | 50.9% |
| White Sox vs. Guardians | Over 7 runs | +102 @ DraftKings | 5.6% | 55.1% |
| Yankees vs. Rays | Over 7 Runs | -103 @ Caesars | 4.5% | 55.3% |
| Padres vs. Brewers | Padres ML | +180 @ BetRivers | 3.9% | 39.6% |
| Padres vs. Brewers | Padres +1.5 | 54¢ @ Novig | 3.7% | 57.6% |
List of upcoming MLB postseason games to bet on [10/3/2026]
- White Sox vs. Guardians (1:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for October 3, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Padres vs. Brewers matchup and over 7 runs in the White Sox vs. Guardians matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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