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Read Article MLB picks today: Saturday's MLB best bets include Yankees vs. Rays play [10/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Saturday, October 3, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for October 3, 2026 are here, with Yankees vs. Rays and Padres vs. Brewers among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s MLB postseason slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to find genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [10/3, updated 6:03PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, October 3, 2026.
Yankees vs. Rays Over 6.5 runs (-125)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 61.6%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 6.5 runs in Yankees vs. Rays at -125 odds. A 61.6% probability produces an edge of 6.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Padres vs. Brewers Over 6.5 runs (-120)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 59.4%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET)
Padres vs. Brewers over 6.5 runs carries a 4.8% edge and a probability of 59.4% at 55¢ odds, according to our model.
Padres ML (+182)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 39.1%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET)
Padres ML at 35¢ odds shows a 3.6% edge, supported by a 39.1% probability in simulations.
Padres +1.5 (-117)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 56.6%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET)
A 2.7% edge and 56.6% probability makes Padres +1.5 vs. Brewers a value play in the Padres vs. Brewers matchup, per our model.
MLB Playoffs best bets summary: Saturday, 10/3/2026
As of 6:03PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees vs. Rays | Over 6.5 runs | -125 @ BetRivers | 6.0% | 61.6% |
| Padres vs. Brewers | Over 6.5 runs | 55¢ @ Novig | 4.8% | 59.4% |
| Padres vs. Brewers | Padres ML | 35¢ @ Novig | 3.6% | 39.1% |
| Padres vs. Brewers | Padres +1.5 vs. Brewers | 54¢ @ Novig | 2.7% | 56.6% |
List of upcoming MLB postseason games to bet on [10/3/2026]
- Yankees vs. Rays (6:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Padres vs. Brewers (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for October 3, 2026, featuring plays such as over 6.5 runs in the Yankees vs. Rays matchup and over 6.5 runs in the Padres vs. Brewers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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