MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Shota Imanaga [9/22/2026]

Shota Imanaga under 1.5 walks allowed (-157)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 68.9%
• Game: Marlins vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on Cubs' Shota Imanaga under 1.5 walks allowed. A probability of 68.9% gives this play an edge of 7.9% at -157 odds.

Michael Soroka over 4.5 hits allowed (-161)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 68.1%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Michael Soroka’s hits allowed prop shows a 68.1% probability and an 6.4% edge at -161 odds, according to our model.

MacKenzie Gore over 3.5 hits allowed (-157)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Game: Mets vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

The data highlights value on MacKenzie Gore over 3.5 hits allowed, with simulations showing a 64.5% probability and a 3.4% edge at -157.

Yusei Kikuchi over 1.5 walks allowed (-142)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Angels vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Yusei Kikuchi over 1.5 walks allowed, with a 63.9% probability and an edge of 5.2% at -142 odds.

Logan Gilbert under 1.5 walks allowed (-144)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Game: Astros vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Logan Gilbert under 1.5 walks allowed for Mariners, showing an edge of 4.6% at -144 odds.

Kyle Freeland over 2.5 strikeouts (-125)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Kyle Freeland’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 7.7% at -125 odds, supported by a 63.3% probability according to our model.

MacKenzie Gore over 1.5 earned runs (-140)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Game: Mets vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on MacKenzie Gore over 1.5 earned runs for Rangers, with a 62.8% probability and a 4.5% edge at -140 odds.

Logan Gilbert under 4.5 hits allowed (-121)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Astros vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Logan Gilbert under 4.5 hits allowed, supported by a 62.2% probability at -121 odds and an edge of 7.4%.

MacKenzie Gore over 1.5 walks allowed (-147)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Game: Mets vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

A 2.6% edge on the over 4.5 walks allowed line makes MacKenzie Gore a value play in Mets vs. Rangers, supported by a 62.1% probability at -147 odds.

Ha-Seong Kim to get a hit (-120)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Game: Reds vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ha-Seong Kim to get a hit here, with a 61.3% probability and 6.8% edge at -120 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, September 22, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For September 22, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Shota Imanaga, Michael Soroka and MacKenzie Gore. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.