Marlins vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Cubs MLB game on Tuesday, September 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Marlins
Janson Junk 6-9, 4.50 ERA
8
2
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Shota Imanaga 11-10, 3.80 ERA
Wrigley Field
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 RHE
Marlins
1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6 8 11 1
Cubs
0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    100%
  • Cubs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ian Happ grounds out to shortstop, Otto Lopez to Griffin Conine.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 H. Hernández LF5110011.2000.533
2 O. Lopez SS5110001.2000.533
3 K. Stowers DH4322111.5002.167
4 J. Sanoja 2B5021001.4000.900
5 J. Mack C3022000.6671.334
6 E. Ruiz RF6100004.0000.000
7 G. Conine 1B6111001.1670.334
8 G. Pauley 3B1000001.0000.000
9 J. Marsee CF3111001.3330.666
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4120011.5001.417
2 S. Suzuki RF6120001.3330.833
3 M. Busch 1B4010001.2500.750
4 M. Shaw DH4000002.0000.000
5 I. Happ LF6011002.1670.334
6 N. Hoerner 2B3000011.0000.400
7 P. Ramirez 3B5000002.0000.000
8 C. Kelly C5010003.2000.400
9 D. Swanson SS5000004.0000.000

Marlins vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:40PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Marlins (+1.5, -127), Cubs (-1.5, +122)
  • Moneyline: Marlins +190, Cubs -194
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Marlins: 34.3%
  • Cubs: 65.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 34.3%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 65.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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