Mets vs. Rangers: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Rangers MLB game on Tuesday, September 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Sean Manaea 5-7, 4.74 ERA
6
3
Globe Life Field
Rangers
MacKenzie Gore 8-11, 4.67 ERA
Globe Life Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 0 1 1 0 3 1 0 0 6 10 1
Rangers
0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Rangers
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Danny Jansen flies out to deep left field to Juan Soto.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS4010010.2500.650
2 J. Soto LF5021000.4000.800
3 B. Bichette 3B4010011.2500.650
4 B. Baty 1B2110010.5001.667
5 C. Benge RF4221011.5001.600
6 M. Semien 2B5100000.0000.000
7 F. Alvarez DH5222001.4001.200
8 A. Ewing CF3010010.3330.833
9 L. Torrens C3001000.0000.000
Rangers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 W. Langford LF3001003.0000.000
2 C. Seager SS4000003.0000.000
3 J. Jung 3B4011002.2500.750
4 J. Burger 1B4000003.0000.000
5 B. Nimmo RF4120001.5001.000
6 E. Duran CF3100011.0000.250
7 N. Lopez PH0000000.0001.000
8 A. Osuna PH1000001.0000.000
9 D. Jansen C2100010.0000.500

Mets vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Texas Rangers
  • Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:05PM ET
  • Venue: Globe Life Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -182), Rangers (-1.5, +178)
  • Moneyline: Mets +113, Rangers -115
  • Total (Over/Under): 8 runs (-105/-115)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 48.2%
  • Rangers: 51.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 48.2%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 51.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rangers are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Globe Life Field on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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