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Read Article MLB picks today: Tuesday's MLB best bets include Padres vs. Diamondbacks play [8/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Tuesday, August 4, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for August 4, 2026 are here, with Padres vs. Diamondbacks and Tigers vs. Mariners among the top plays identified by our model across Tuesday’s MLB slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to unearth real betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [8/4, updated 8:45PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Tuesday, August 4, 2026.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-117)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 62.8%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Padres vs. Diamondbacks at -117 odds. A 62.8% probability produces an edge of 8.9%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Mariners ML (-115)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Matchup: Tigers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)
Mariners ML carries a 4.0% edge and a probability of 57.5% at -115 odds, according to our model.
Mariners -1.5 (+182)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 39.2%
- Matchup: Tigers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)
Mariners -1.5 vs. Tigers at +182 odds shows a 3.8% edge, supported by a 39.2% probability in simulations.
Diamondbacks -1.5 (+174)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 39.3%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)
A 2.8% edge and 39.3% probability makes Diamondbacks -1.5 vs. Padres a value play in the Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup, per our model.
MLB best bets summary: Tuesday, 8/4/2026
As of 8:45PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres vs. Diamondbacks | Over 8.5 runs | -117 @ Novig | 8.9% | 62.8% |
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Mariners ML | -115 @ Novig | 4.0% | 57.5% |
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Mariners -1.5 | +182 @ Novig | 3.8% | 39.2% |
| Padres vs. Diamondbacks | Diamondbacks -1.5 vs. Padres | +174 @ Novig | 2.8% | 39.3% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/4/2026]
- Padres vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Tigers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Blue Jays vs. Astros (2:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Dodgers vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Wednesday)
- Rays vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Angels vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Wednesday)
- Mets vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Athletics vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Nationals vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Cardinals vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Wednesday)
- White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Wednesday)
- Twins vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Pirates vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 4, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup and Mariners ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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