White Sox vs. Red Sox: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the White Sox vs. Red Sox MLB game on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
White Sox
Sean Burke 7-5, 3.04 ERA
0
4
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Sonny Gray 13-2, 2.93 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
White Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1
Red Sox
1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 X 4 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • White Sox
    0%
  • Red Sox
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brenton Doyle strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
White Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Antonacci LF3010000.3330.833
2 M. Murakami 1B3000011.0000.250
3 M. Vargas 3B3020011.6671.417
4 C. Montgomery SS3000012.0000.250
5 R. Grichuk PH1000001.0000.000
6 B. Montgomery RF4000003.0000.000
7 B. Doyle PH1000001.0000.000
8 C. Meidroth 2B3000002.0000.000
9 J. Bart C1000001.0000.000
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Sogard 1B3000012.0000.250
2 C. Rafaela CF3000011.0000.250
3 W. Abreu RF3321110.6672.417
4 A. Seigler 2B2000002.0000.000
5 J. Jones DH1000001.0000.000
6 C. Durbin 3B4011000.2500.500
7 J. Duran LF3120000.6671.667
8 A. Monasterio SS2011000.5000.833
9 C. Wong C3000002.0000.000

White Sox vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: CHI White Sox White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: White Sox (+1.5, -155), Red Sox (-1.5, +155)
  • Moneyline: White Sox +138, Red Sox -130
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+108/-111)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • White Sox: 39.9%
  • Red Sox: 60.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the White Sox a win probability of 39.9%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 60.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the White Sox in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our White Sox vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.