Pirates vs. Brewers: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Brewers MLB game on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Paul Skenes 9-9, 3.90 ERA
2
4
American Family Field
Brewers
Kyle Harrison 8-2, 3.01 ERA
American Family Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 1
Brewers
0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 X 4 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Brewers
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Esmerlyn Valdez strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Mangum CF4000001.0000.000
2 B. Lowe 2B4000002.0000.000
3 B. Reynolds DH4110002.2500.500
4 E. Valdez RF3000013.0000.250
5 N. Gonzales 3B3010001.3330.666
6 E. Rodríguez C3112101.3331.666
7 J. Gonzalez SS1000001.0000.000
8 S. Horwitz 1B1000000.0000.000
9 R. Simon LF1000010.0000.500
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Turang 2B3000012.0000.250
2 J. Chourio LF4000001.0000.000
3 G. Mitchell CF2100021.0000.500
4 W. Contreras C3211111.3331.833
5 C. Yelich DH4121002.5001.250
6 A. Vaughn 1B3012010.3330.833
7 L. Lara RF2000011.0000.333
8 C. Pratt SS3000001.0000.000
9 J. Ortiz 3B0000000.0000.000

Pirates vs. Brewers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:40PM ET
  • Venue: American Family Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (+1.5, -186), Brewers (-1.5, +180)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +123, Brewers -122
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (-127/+122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 47.9%
  • Brewers: 52.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 47.9%, while the Brewers have a win probability of 52.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at American Family Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Brewers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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