Mets vs. Guardians: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Guardians MLB game on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Christian Scott 3-3, 2.99 ERA
6
5
Progressive Field
Guardians
Tanner Bibee 4-11, 3.81 ERA
Progressive Field
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Mets
0 2 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 6 8 2
Guardians
0 0 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 5 11 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Guardians
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nathaniel Lowe grounds out to first base to Jared Young.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing LF5010002.2000.600
2 F. Lindor SS5100004.0000.000
3 B. Bichette 3B5011002.2000.400
4 C. Benge RF5211102.2001.000
5 J. Young 1B4121011.5001.850
6 F. Alvarez C4000003.0000.000
7 L. Robert CF1000001.0000.000
8 J. Polanco DH4121101.5002.000
9 M. Semien 2B3000010.0000.250
Guardians Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Kwan CF5110012.2000.533
2 J. Ramírez PR0000000.0000.000
3 J. Adell RF5100012.0000.167
4 N. Lowe 1B6022001.3330.833
5 T. Bazzana 2B5011003.2000.400
6 B. Rocchio SS3100010.0000.400
7 A. Martínez LF2110001.5001.000
8 P. Bailey C5021002.4000.800
9 A. Genao 3B5141000.8001.600

Mets vs. Guardians: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
  • Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Progressive Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (-1.5, +170), Guardians (+1.5, -178)
  • Moneyline: Mets +102, Guardians -104
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+102/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 50.3%
  • Guardians: 49.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 50.3%, while the Guardians have a win probability of 49.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Guardians in the MLB game at Progressive Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Guardians predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.