Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on January 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Queretaro
1
2
Jan 17, 6:07 PM ET Estadio Akron
Guadalajara
Jan 17, 6:07 PM ET Estadio Akron
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
A. Gonzalez (35')
Soccer ball icon
R. Alvarado (61')
Soccer ball icon
M. Coronel (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Queretaro
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: F. Pena replaces S. Homenchenko
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces B. Gutierrez
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: Jhojan Julio replaces J. Gomez
84'
Yellow Card
M. A. Carcelen Carabali (Queretaro) cautioned
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Queretaro by M. Coronel
1-2
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces R. Ledezma
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Campillo Del Campo replaces A. Gonzalez
73'
Yellow Card
A. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces O. Govea
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: W. Madrid replaces J. Unjanque
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: M. A. Carcelen Carabali replaces B. Parra
61'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado, assisted by R. Ledezma
0-2
55'
Yellow Card
R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: L. Rodriguez replaces C. Garcia
43'
Yellow Card
S. Homenchenko (Queretaro) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by D. Aguirre
0-1
21'
Yellow Card
A. Avila (Queretaro) cautioned

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Queretaro vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 6:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +950, Guadalajara -325, draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+122)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 11.3%
  • Guadalajara: 68.9%
  • Draw: 19.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara (13.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Queretaro vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.9%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Queretaro vs. Guadalajara, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.