Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on January 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Queretaro
1
2
Estadio Akron
Guadalajara
Estadio Akron
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
A. Gonzalez (35')
Soccer ball icon
R. Alvarado (61')
Soccer ball icon
M. Coronel (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Queretaro
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: F. Pena replaces S. Homenchenko
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces B. Gutierrez
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: Jhojan Julio replaces J. Gomez
  4. 84'
    Yellow Card
    M. A. Carcelen Carabali (Queretaro) cautioned
  5. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by M. Coronel
    1-2
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces R. Ledezma
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Campillo Del Campo replaces A. Gonzalez
  8. 73'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces O. Govea
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: W. Madrid replaces J. Unjanque
  12. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: M. A. Carcelen Carabali replaces B. Parra
  13. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado, assisted by R. Ledezma
    0-2
  14. 55'
    Yellow Card
    R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  15. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: L. Rodriguez replaces C. Garcia
  16. 43'
    Yellow Card
    S. Homenchenko (Queretaro) cautioned
  17. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by D. Aguirre
    0-1
  18. 21'
    Yellow Card
    A. Avila (Queretaro) cautioned

Queretaro vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 6:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +950, Guadalajara -325, draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+122)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 11.3%
  • Guadalajara: 68.9%
  • Draw: 19.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara (13.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Queretaro vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.9%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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