Atlas vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on January 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Atlas
1
0
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
AtlasATL
J. Carranza (45')
Red Card icon
P. Ramirez (37')
Red Card icon
A. Gonzalez (43')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlas
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces E. Lara
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: E. Aguirre replaces A. Gonzalez
  3. 74'
    Yellow Card
    U. Djurdjevic (Atlas) cautioned
  4. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Sanchez replaces K. Gutierrez
  5. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: E. Zaldivar replaces Gustavo Ferrareis
  6. 63'
    Yellow Card
    V. H. Rios De Alba (Atlas) cautioned
  7. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces M. E. Garcia
  8. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: A. E. Almendra replaces C. Calderon
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: T. Badaloni replaces D. Leyva
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Mendez replaces A. Oliveros
  11. 45'
    Red Card
    J. Carranza (Necaxa) sent off for a second yellow card
  12. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by G. Aguirre
    1-0
  13. 41'
    Yellow Card
    J. Carranza (Necaxa) cautioned
  14. 37'
    Red Card
    P. Ramirez (Atlas) sent off with a straight red card
  15. 24'
    Yellow Card
    G. Aguirre (Atlas) cautioned

Atlas vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +300, Necaxa -110, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlas: 24.5%
  • Necaxa: 51.9%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlas 1-1 Necaxa (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Atlas vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.9%.

The most likely correct score is Atlas 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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