South Dakota vs. Youngstown State prediction favors Youngstown State to win in college football Week 4 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 54.6% win probability for Youngstown State at Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium.

Youngstown State will take on South Dakota in Week 4 college football action at Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model gives Youngstown State a slight edge with a 54.6% win probability over South Dakota.
This article offers a complete South Dakota vs. Youngstown State prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
South Dakota vs. Youngstown State prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives Youngstown State a 54.6% chance of defeating South Dakota. Our predicted final score has Youngstown State winning 32-30. According to our model, Youngstown State (-1.5) has a 51.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 65.5-point over/under has a 54.7% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: South Dakota +1.5 (-110) / Youngstown State -1.5 (-111)
- Moneyline: South Dakota +100, Youngstown State -121
- Total: Over/Under 65.5 (-103/-121)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Youngstown State -1.5 @ -111 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Youngstown State @ -121 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 65.5 @ -121 via DraftKings
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 65.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Youngstown State and South Dakota at Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: South Dakota vs. Youngstown State
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium
College football Week 4 promos
Make the most of Dimers' South Dakota vs. Youngstown State predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Youngstown State, with a 54.6% win probability, will likely beat South Dakota in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



