Oregon State vs. Texas-El Paso prediction: Why Oregon State is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Oregon State vs. Texas-El Paso, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Oregon State a 78.9% chance of beating Texas-El Paso. Our predicted final score has Oregon State winning 33-22. According to our model, Texas-El Paso (+10.5) has a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 50.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Oregon State -10.5 (-115) / Texas-El Paso +10.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: Oregon State -440, Texas-El Paso +350
• Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-105/-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas-El Paso +10.5 @ -102 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Texas-El Paso @ +350 via bet365
• Total: Over 56.5 @ -105 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas-El Paso +10.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Texas-El Paso and Oregon State at Sun Bowl is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Oregon State vs. Texas-El Paso
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Sun Bowl

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Conclusion

We predict Oregon State, with a 78.9% win probability, will likely beat Texas-El Paso in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.