Merrimack vs. Yale prediction favors Yale to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Merrimack vs. Yale, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Yale an 82.7% chance of beating Merrimack. Our predicted final score has Yale winning 32-20. According to our model, Merrimack (+12.5) has a 50.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 52.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Merrimack +12.5 (-110) / Yale -12.5 (-113)
• Moneyline: Merrimack +375, Yale -510
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-105/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Merrimack +12.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Yale @ -510 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 51.5 @ -105 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 51.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Yale and Merrimack at Yale Bowl is scheduled to commence at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Merrimack vs. Yale
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Yale Bowl

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Conclusion

We predict Yale, with an 82.7% win probability, will likely beat Merrimack in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.