Kings vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Kings vs. Islanders in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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LIVE
1st 00:00
NHL
Updating LIVE
LIVE
1st 00:00
Updating LIVE
NHL sport icon
NHL
Kings
2
:
0
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Kings
2 2
Islanders
0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Kings
    83%
  • Islanders
    17%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Kings
2 2
Islanders
0 0
P1 19:40 Power play - Drew Doughty shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P1 19:35 Power play - Mats Zuccarello shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P1 19:15 Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
P1 17:23 Power play - Shot missed by Adrian Kempe
P1 16:34 Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Matthew Kessel
P1 14:29 Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 11:45 Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P1 11:12 Shot missed by Samuel Helenius
P1 10:39 Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 09:37 Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 08:00 Shot on goal by Trevor Moore saved by Semyon Varlamov
P1 07:43 Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P1 06:49 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 06:07 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 05:49 Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
P1 05:17 Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Semyon Varlamov
P1 04:34 Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Erik Haula
P1 03:08 Shorthanded - Joel Armia shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P1 02:46 Shot missed by Brayden Schenn
P1 02:20 Emil Heineman shot blocked by Jared Wright
Play by Play
  1. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  2. P1 19:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Drew Doughty shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  3. P1 19:38
    Kings won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  4. P1 19:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Mats Zuccarello shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  5. P1 19:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
  6. P1 18:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  7. P1 18:11
    Power play - Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  8. P1 17:55
    Delayed penalty (against the Islanders)
  9. P1 17:31
    Penalty to Mats Zuccarello 2 minutes for Misconduct
  10. P1 17:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Adrian Kempe
  11. P1 16:49
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  12. P1 16:49
    Penalty to Bo Horvat 2 minutes for Misconduct
  13. P1 16:49
    Kings won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  14. P1 16:37
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in neutral zone
  15. P1 16:34
    SHOT
    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Matthew Kessel
  16. P1 14:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Darcy Kuemper
  17. P1 13:38
    Giveaway by Trevor Moore in defensive zone
  18. P1 13:09
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  19. P1 13:09
    Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  20. P1 11:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  21. P1 11:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Samuel Helenius
  22. P1 10:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Darcy Kuemper
  23. P1 09:39
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alex Laferriere in offensive zone
  24. P1 09:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Darcy Kuemper
  25. P1 09:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  26. P1 08:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Moore saved by Semyon Varlamov
  27. P1 07:45
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  28. P1 07:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  29. P1 07:03
    Erik Haula won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  30. P1 07:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  31. P1 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Darcy Kuemper
  32. P1 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Darcy Kuemper
  33. P1 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
  34. P1 05:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  35. P1 05:19
    Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  36. P1 05:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Semyon Varlamov
  37. P1 04:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Erik Haula
  38. P1 03:38
    Shorthanded - Erik Haula won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  39. P1 03:08
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Joel Armia shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  40. P1 02:50
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Erik Haula in offensive zone
  41. P1 02:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Schenn
  42. P1 02:22
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  43. P1 02:20
    SHOT
    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Jared Wright
  44. P1 02:05
    Kings won faceoff against Islanders in defensive zone
  45. P1 02:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Kessel saved by Darcy Kuemper
  46. P1 01:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Semyon Varlamov
  47. P1 00:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  48. P1 00:14
    Andre Lee credited with hit on Mitchell Chaffee in neutral zone
  49. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Kings
STATS
Islanders
6Shots on Goal15
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
9Penalty Infraction Mins9
4Hits12
6 Shots Blocked 6
7Giveaways4
KingsLA
IslandersNYI
6Shots on Goal15
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
9Penalty Infraction Mins9
4Hits12
6 Shots Blocked 6
7Giveaways4

Kings vs. Islanders prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Los Angeles Kings vs. NY Islanders Islanders
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:30PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Kings (+1.5, -264), Islanders (-1.5, +257)
  • Moneyline: Kings -104, Islanders +102
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals (-102/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Kings: 48.8%
  • Islanders: 51.2%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Kings vs. Islanders player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Adrian Kempe, Kings: 32.6%
  • Artemi Panarin, Kings: 32.4%
  • Bo Horvat, Islanders: 36.1%
  • Matthew Schaefer, Islanders: 24.0%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 48.8%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 51.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Kings in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

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