Jets vs. Stars Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Jets vs. Stars in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
LIVE
1st 11:09
NHL
Updating LIVE
LIVE
1st 11:09
Updating LIVE
NHL sport icon
NHL
Jets
0
:
0
American Airlines Center
Stars
American Airlines Center
TEAM123T
Jets
0 0
Stars
0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Jets
    41%
  • Stars
    59%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Jets
0 0
Stars
0 0
P1 08:51 Adam Lowry shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
P1 07:30 Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
P1 05:42 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 05:02 Shot on goal by Tyler Seguin saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 02:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 01:35 Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Stuart Skinner
Play by Play
  1. P1 08:51
    SHOT
    Adam Lowry shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  2. P1 07:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  3. P1 06:22
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Brad Lambert in neutral zone
  4. P1 06:22
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  5. P1 05:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Stuart Skinner
  6. P1 05:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Seguin saved by Stuart Skinner
  7. P1 04:27
    Morgan Barron won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
  8. P1 04:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  9. P1 03:58
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Adam Lowry in defensive zone
  10. P1 03:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  11. P1 03:43
    Shorthanded - Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Viggo Bjorck in neutral zone
  12. P1 03:43
    Stoppage - Offside
  13. P1 02:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Jake Oettinger
  14. P1 01:52
    Shorthanded - Joel Kiviranta won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  15. P1 01:38
    Morgan Barron won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
  16. P1 01:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Stuart Skinner
  17. P1 00:16
    Giveaway by Dylan Samberg in defensive zone
  18. P1 00:00
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
Stats
Jets
STATS
Stars
2Shots on Goal6
29% Faceoff Win % 71%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins2
0Hits2
0 Shots Blocked 2
3Giveaways0
JetsWPG
StarsDAL
2Shots on Goal6
29% Faceoff Win % 71%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins2
0Hits2
0 Shots Blocked 2
3Giveaways0

Jets vs. Stars prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Puck drop: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Jets (+1.5, -150), Stars (-1.5, +144)
  • Moneyline: Jets +178, Stars -182
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals (+104/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Jets: 38.2%
  • Stars: 61.8%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Jets vs. Stars player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Kyle Connor, Jets: 41.4%
  • Mark Scheifele, Jets: 33.1%
  • Jason Robertson, Stars: 39.7%
  • Wyatt Johnston, Stars: 38.3%

Want the best picks for this game?

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  • Every game and player prop bet our model rates for this matchup.
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  • All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jets a win probability of 38.2%, while the Stars have a win probability of 61.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Jets in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Jets vs. Stars, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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