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Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Orioles MLB game on July 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Phillies
Andrew Painter 1-8, 7.06 ERA
4
6
Jul 31, 7:05 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Brandon Young 8-2, 3.13 ERA
Jul 31, 7:05 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Orioles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | X | 6 | 6 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Phillies
- Orioles
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Justin Crawford grounds out to shallow infield, Tyler Wells to Pete Alonso.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 2.250 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 4 | A. Bohm | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | B. Marsh | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | J. Realmuto | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 7 | B. Stott | 2B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 8 | D. Hill | RF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | J. Crawford | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Beavers | LF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 1.167 |
| 2 | P. Alonso | 1B | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .667 | 2.417 |
| 3 | G. Henderson | SS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 1.000 |
| 4 | T. Ward | DH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 5 | L. Taveras | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | J. Holliday | 2B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 7 | J. Rogers | C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | C. Cowser | CF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 9 | C. Encarnacion-Strand | 3B | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.000 |
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Phillies vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Phillies vs. Orioles
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 7:05 PM ET
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9
- Moneyline Odds: Phillies +111, Orioles -112
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Phillies: 48%
- Orioles: 52%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 48%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Phillies vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.