Pirates vs. Reds: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Reds MLB game on Friday, July 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Paul Skenes 9-9, 3.66 ERA
7
8
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Hunter Greene 2-2, 7.06 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
2 1 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 7 12 1
Reds
2 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 X 8 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Reds
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Endy Rodríguez called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Mangum CF4122111.5001.850
2 B. Lowe 2B5131002.6001.400
3 B. Reynolds LF5120001.4000.800
4 E. Valdez RF3101011.0000.200
5 R. O'Hearn DH4010010.2500.650
6 N. Gonzales 3B4122000.5001.100
7 E. Rodríguez 1B5110002.2000.400
8 J. Triolo SS1000001.0000.000
9 H. Davis C4111000.2500.500
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz SS3110021.3331.600
2 S. Stewart 1B5224100.4001.400
3 J. Bleday LF3211121.3331.933
4 T. Stephenson C3111012.3331.267
5 I. Johnson DH0000000.0000.000
6 K. Hayes 3B1000001.0000.000
7 D. Myers CF4010001.2500.500
8 N. Marte RF4130001.7501.750
9 M. McLain 2B4110001.2500.500

Pirates vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
  • Time: 6:10PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (-1.5, +144), Reds (+1.5, -147)
  • Moneyline: Pirates -117, Reds +115
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-113/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 52.2%
  • Reds: 47.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 52.2%, while the Reds have a win probability of 47.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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