Yankees vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Cubs MLB game on Friday, July 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Will Warren 7-5, 4.41 ERA
2
0
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Shota Imanaga 7-8, 3.72 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 4 0
Cubs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Cubs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Alex Bregman grounds out to shallow infield, David Bednar to Paul Goldschmidt.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Goldschmidt 1B4000001.0000.000
2 B. Rice DH4010002.2500.500
3 R. McMahon 3B1000000.0000.000
4 J. Domínguez RF3000011.0000.250
5 T. Grisham CF4000000.0000.000
6 A. Volpe SS3000001.0000.000
7 S. Jones LF2111111.5002.667
8 A. Wells C0000010.0001.000
9 J. Caballero 2B3010000.3330.666
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4000001.0000.000
2 P. Ramirez 3B4020000.5001.000
3 M. Busch 1B4000000.0000.000
4 A. Bregman DH4010000.2500.500
5 I. Happ LF3010001.3330.666
6 N. Hoerner 2B3000001.0000.000
7 M. Conforto RF3000003.0000.000
8 D. Swanson SS3000002.0000.000
9 M. Amaya C3010002.3331.000

Yankees vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
  • Time: 2:20PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Yankees (+1.5, -138), Cubs (-1.5, +130)
  • Moneyline: Yankees +150, Cubs -153
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-106/+105)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Yankees: 43.0%
  • Cubs: 57.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 43.0%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 57.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.