Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL Liga MX match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
4
Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANL
Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
J. Brunetta (16')
Soccer ball icon
R. Aguirre (42')
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A. Correa (46')
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J. Brunetta (80')
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D. Aguirre (25')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tigres UANL
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. A. Sanchez Guevara replaces J. Brunetta
  2. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Brunetta, assisted by F. Gorriaran
    1-4
  3. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Vigon replaces J. Angulo
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces D. Aguirre
  5. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces B. Gonzalez
  6. 66'
    Yellow Card
    O. Whalley (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  7. 65'
    Yellow Card
    B. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: Romulo replaces R. Aguirre
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces E. Alvarez
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces D. Campillo Del Campo
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces M. Gomez
  12. 46'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by A. Correa, assisted by J. Brunetta
    1-3
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    F. Gorriaran (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  14. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by R. Aguirre, assisted by A. Correa
    1-2
  15. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by D. Aguirre, assisted by B. Gonzalez
    1-1
  16. 22'
    Yellow Card
    R. Guerrero (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  17. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Brunetta, assisted by R. Aguirre
    0-1
  18. 9'
    Yellow Card
    R. Aguirre (Tigres UANL) cautioned

Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +185, Tigres UANL +150, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/+102)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 28.7%
  • Tigres UANL: 45.8%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.8%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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