Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL Liga MX match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
4
Apr 11, 7:00 PM ET Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANL
Apr 11, 7:00 PM ET Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
J. Brunetta (16')
Soccer ball icon
R. Aguirre (42')
Soccer ball icon
A. Correa (46')
Soccer ball icon
J. Brunetta (80')
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D. Aguirre (25')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tigres UANL
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. A. Sanchez Guevara replaces J. Brunetta
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Brunetta, assisted by F. Gorriaran
1-4
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Vigon replaces J. Angulo
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces D. Aguirre
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces B. Gonzalez
66'
Yellow Card
O. Whalley (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
B. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: Romulo replaces R. Aguirre
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces E. Alvarez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces D. Campillo Del Campo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces M. Gomez
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Tigres UANL by A. Correa, assisted by J. Brunetta
1-3
45'
Yellow Card
F. Gorriaran (Tigres UANL) cautioned
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Tigres UANL by R. Aguirre, assisted by A. Correa
1-2
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by D. Aguirre, assisted by B. Gonzalez
1-1
22'
Yellow Card
R. Guerrero (Tigres UANL) cautioned
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Brunetta, assisted by R. Aguirre
0-1
9'
Yellow Card
R. Aguirre (Tigres UANL) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +185, Tigres UANL +150, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/+102)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 28.7%
  • Tigres UANL: 45.8%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.8%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.