Santos Laguna vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Santos Laguna vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

LIGA MX

FINAL

LIGA MX

Santos Laguna

Apr 11, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Pachuca

Apr 11, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

PachucaPAC

Score Summary

Santos LagunaSAN

V. Guzman (15')

V. Guzman (35')

V. Guzman (60')

C. Sanchez (72')

L. Di Yorio (1')

B. Amione (52')

J. Ramirez (o.g.) (89')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Pachuca
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Santos Laguna
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

89'

Goal scored for Santos Laguna by J. Ramirez (o.g.)

2-4

87'

Substitution for Pachuca: J. Ramirez replaces S. Rondon

87'

Substitution for Pachuca: P. Pedraza replaces V. Guzman

82'

Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces O. Idrissi

82'

Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces Kenedy

82'

Substitution for Santos Laguna: T. Jimenez replaces F. Villalba

82'

Substitution for Santos Laguna: D. Medina replaces L. Di Yorio

75'

Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. Perez replaces E. Bullaude

72'

Goal scored for Pachuca by C. Sanchez

1-4

67'

Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces E. Montiel

60'

Goal scored for Pachuca by V. Guzman, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo

1-3

57'

J. Guemez (Santos Laguna) cautioned

53'

Substitution for Santos Laguna: E. Orona replaces N. Cedillo

52'

B. Amione (Santos Laguna) sent off with a straight red card

46'

Substitution for Santos Laguna: R. Sordo replaces C. Dajome

45'

C. Dajome (Santos Laguna) cautioned

35'

Goal scored for Pachuca by V. Guzman, assisted by E. Montiel

1-2

15'

Goal scored for Pachuca by V. Guzman, assisted by Kenedy

1-1

Goal scored for Santos Laguna by L. Di Yorio, assisted by F. Villalba

1-0

Santos Laguna vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Santos Laguna vs. Pachuca
Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Santos Laguna +700, Pachuca -260, draw +425
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Santos Laguna: 14.0%
Pachuca: 67.6%
Draw: 18.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Santos Laguna 0-2 Pachuca (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Santos Laguna vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 67.6%.

The most likely correct score is Santos Laguna 0-2 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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