Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on December 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Tigres UANL
1
:
1
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
G. Fernandez (pen.) (76')
Soccer ball icon
A. Correa (61')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Garza (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Yellow Card
    I. Rivero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Vigon replaces J. Angulo
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces J. Paradela
  5. 77'
    Yellow Card
    G. Fernandez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  6. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez (pen.)
    1-1
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Piovi replaces J. Orozco
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Sanchez replaces J. Brunetta
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces J. Sanchez
  10. 65'
    Yellow Card
    N. Guzman (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  11. 64'
    Yellow Card
    Joaquim (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  12. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by A. Correa, assisted by Romulo
    1-0
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Rotondi replaces O. Campos
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Faravelli replaces J. Marquez
  15. 40'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: O. Herrera replaces N. Ibanez
  16. 32'
    Yellow Card
    J. Marquez (Cruz Azul) cautioned

Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +230, Cruz Azul +130, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+106/-130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 29.7%
  • Cruz Azul: 43.8%
  • Draw: 26.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.8%.

The most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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