Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on November 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
3
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
G. Fernandez (14')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (72')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rodriguez (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Cowell (8')
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B. Gonzalez (35')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by G. Fernandez
    2-3
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Rodarte replaces J. Marquez
  3. 84'
    Penalty missed by Chicharito for Guadalajara Chivas
  4. 83'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  5. 83'
    Yellow Card
    J. Orozco (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Pulido replaces R. Alvarado
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces C. Cowell
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Chicharito replaces O. Govea
  9. 75'
    Yellow Card
    E. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  10. 74'
    Yellow Card
    J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  11. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez, assisted by C. Rodriguez
    2-2
  12. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces C. Rotondi
  13. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces I. Rivero
  14. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Mozo replaces R. Ledezma
  15. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Gutierrez replaces E. Alvarez
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Orozco replaces G. Piovi
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Sanchez replaces L. Faravelli
  18. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gonzalez, assisted by C. Cowell
    2-1
  19. 19'
    Yellow Card
    I. Rivero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  20. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by J. Marquez
    1-1
  21. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by C. Cowell, assisted by R. Alvarado
    1-0

Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +245, Cruz Azul +110, draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-114/-106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 24.3%
  • Cruz Azul: 50.4%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.4%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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