Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on November 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
3
Nov 30, 8:00 PM ET
Cruz Azul
Nov 30, 8:00 PM ET
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
G. Fernandez (14')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (72')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rodriguez (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Cowell (8')
Soccer ball icon
B. Gonzalez (35')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by G. Fernandez
2-3
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Rodarte replaces J. Marquez
84'
Penalty missed by Chicharito for Guadalajara Chivas
83'
Yellow Card
E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
83'
Yellow Card
J. Orozco (Cruz Azul) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Pulido replaces R. Alvarado
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces C. Cowell
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Chicharito replaces O. Govea
75'
Yellow Card
E. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
74'
Yellow Card
J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez, assisted by C. Rodriguez
2-2
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces C. Rotondi
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces I. Rivero
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Mozo replaces R. Ledezma
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Gutierrez replaces E. Alvarez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Orozco replaces G. Piovi
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Sanchez replaces L. Faravelli
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gonzalez, assisted by C. Cowell
2-1
19'
Yellow Card
I. Rivero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by J. Marquez
1-1
8'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by C. Cowell, assisted by R. Alvarado
1-0

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Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +245, Cruz Azul +110, draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-114/-106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 24.3%
  • Cruz Azul: 50.4%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.4%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.