Juarez vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Toluca Liga MX match on November 29, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Juarez
0
:
0
Toluca
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toluca
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Juarez
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Yellow Card
    J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (Toluca) cautioned
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toluca: E. del Villar replaces N. Castro
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces Paulinho
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: A. Zaldivar replaces Guilherme Castilho
  5. 75'
    Yellow Card
    Guilherme Castilho (Juarez) cautioned
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces Helinho
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces J. Angulo
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: R. Fulgencio replaces J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
  9. 36'
    Yellow Card
    R. Pizarro (Juarez) cautioned
  10. 31'
    Yellow Card
    H. E. Martinez Yepez (Juarez) cautioned

Juarez vs. Toluca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
  • Time: 8:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Juarez +750, Toluca -315, draw +475

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Juarez: 11.5%
  • Toluca: 72.3%
  • Draw: 16.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Juarez 0-2 Toluca (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Juarez vs. Toluca? Prediction & correct score

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 72.3%.

The most likely correct score is Juarez 0-2 Toluca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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