Jets vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jets vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Jets
5
6
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123T
Jets
2 2 1 5
Maple Leafs
0 3 3 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Jets
    0%
  • Maple Leafs
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Jets
2 2 1 5
Maple Leafs
0 3 3 6
P3 19:58 Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 19:55 Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 19:54 Gabriel Vilardi shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 19:51 Jonathan Toews shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:32 Shot missed by Neal Pionk
P3 18:50 Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
P3 17:59 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 16:18 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
P3 15:38 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
P3 15:24 Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
P3 14:49 Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:17 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 13:54 Shot on goal by Colin Miller saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 13:11 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Eric Comrie
P3 13:00 Bobby McMann shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
P3 12:52 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
P3 12:03 Shot missed by Dylan DeMelo
P3 11:21 Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:58
    SHOT
    Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  3. P3 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
  4. P3 19:54
    SHOT
    Gabriel Vilardi shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  5. P3 19:51
    SHOT
    Jonathan Toews shot blocked by teammate
  6. P3 19:34
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
  7. P3 19:34
    Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
  8. P3 19:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Neal Pionk
  9. P3 18:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
  10. P3 18:07
    Dylan DeMelo credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
  11. P3 17:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  12. P3 16:45
    Matthew Knies credited with hit on Neal Pionk in defensive zone
  13. P3 16:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
  14. P3 16:02
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  15. P3 16:02
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  16. P3 15:38
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  17. P3 15:38
    Stoppage - Objects on Ice
  18. P3 15:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
  19. P3 15:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
  20. P3 14:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
  21. P3 14:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
  22. P3 14:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  23. P3 13:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Miller saved by Dennis Hildeby
  24. P3 13:13
    Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Alex Iafallo in neutral zone
  25. P3 13:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Eric Comrie
  26. P3 13:00
    SHOT
    Bobby McMann shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
  27. P3 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
  28. P3 12:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
  29. P3 12:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan DeMelo
  30. P3 11:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
  31. P3 10:56
    SHOT
    Easton Cowan shot blocked by Josh Morrissey
  32. P3 10:48
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alex Iafallo
  33. P3 09:43
    Jets won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  34. P3 09:42
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Alex Iafallo in defensive zone
  35. P3 09:42
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  36. P3 09:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  37. P3 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonathan Toews
  38. P3 08:50
    John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
  39. P3 08:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mark Scheifele
  40. P3 08:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
  41. P3 07:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Neal Pionk saved by Dennis Hildeby
  42. P3 07:13
    Power play - Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  43. P3 07:13
    Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Misconduct
  44. P3 06:30
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
  45. P3 06:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Matias Maccelli assisted by Matthew Knies and John Tavares
    4-4
  46. P3 06:14
    John Tavares won faceoff against Gustav Nyquist in neutral zone
  47. P3 06:14
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  48. P3 04:57
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
  49. P3 04:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P3 04:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Logan Stanley
  51. P3 04:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Dennis Hildeby
  52. P3 04:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Barron
  53. P3 04:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Barron
  54. P3 04:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Eric Comrie
  55. P3 02:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Eric Comrie
  56. P3 01:59
    John Tavares won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in defensive zone
  57. P3 01:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  58. P3 01:42
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  59. P3 01:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  60. P3 01:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Morrissey saved by Dennis Hildeby
  61. P3 00:44
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
  62. P3 00:44
    Stoppage - Offside
  63. P3 00:00
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  64. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  65. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
  66. P2 19:57
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  67. P2 19:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Adam Lowry
  68. P2 19:20
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Cole Koepke
  69. P2 19:04
    Shorthanded - Morgan Barron won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  70. P2 19:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  71. P2 19:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Eric Comrie
  72. P2 18:53
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
  73. P2 18:53
    Penalty to Neal Pionk 2 minutes for Misconduct
  74. P2 18:43
    John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in defensive zone
  75. P2 18:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 18:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Dennis Hildeby
  77. P2 18:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Lowry saved by Dennis Hildeby
  78. P2 17:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Dennis Hildeby
  79. P2 17:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Koepke saved by Dennis Hildeby
  80. P2 17:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Samberg saved by Dennis Hildeby
  81. P2 16:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  82. P2 16:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  83. P2 16:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Eric Comrie
  84. P2 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Eric Comrie
  85. P2 15:24
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  86. P2 15:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  87. P2 15:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
  88. P2 15:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
  89. P2 14:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  90. P2 14:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  91. P2 14:06
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  92. P2 14:06
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  93. P2 13:46
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  94. P2 13:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Eric Comrie
  95. P2 13:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  96. P2 12:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Dennis Hildeby
  97. P2 11:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  98. P2 11:35
    SHOT
    Logan Stanley shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
  99. P2 11:04
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  100. P2 11:04
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
    4-2
  101. P2 11:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Eric Comrie
  102. P2 08:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Eric Comrie
  103. P2 08:29
    John Tavares won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in defensive zone
  104. P2 08:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  105. P2 08:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
  106. P2 07:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Dennis Hildeby
  107. P2 06:49
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  108. P2 06:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  109. P2 06:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Colin Miller
  110. P2 06:04
    SHOT
    Morgan Barron shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  111. P2 05:38
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  112. P2 05:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  113. P2 05:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Eric Comrie
  114. P2 05:24
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
  115. P2 05:24
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mark Scheifele assisted by Gabriel Vilardi and Neal Pionk
    4-1
  116. P2 05:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Neal Pionk
  117. P2 04:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  118. P2 04:39
    SHOT
    John Tavares shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
  119. P2 03:53
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Alex Iafallo
  120. P2 03:49
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
  121. P2 03:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
  122. P2 03:39
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  123. P2 03:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  124. P2 03:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Eric Comrie
  125. P2 03:15
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  126. P2 03:15
    Stoppage - High Stick
  127. P2 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  128. P2 02:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Joseph Woll
  129. P2 02:11
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
  130. P2 02:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
  131. P2 02:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
  132. P2 01:50
    SHOT
    Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Colin Miller
  133. P2 01:48
    SHOT
    Matthew Knies shot blocked by Alex Iafallo
  134. P2 01:34
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in neutral zone
  135. P2 01:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
  136. P2 01:12
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in offensive zone
  137. P2 01:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  138. P2 01:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Eric Comrie
  139. P2 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Lowry
  140. P2 00:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Lowry saved by Joseph Woll
  141. P2 00:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Lowry saved by Joseph Woll
  142. P2 00:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Joseph Woll
  143. P2 00:00
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  144. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  145. P1 19:58
    SHOT
    Jets shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  146. P1 19:17
    Gabriel Vilardi won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  147. P1 19:17
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  148. P1 19:17
    Jets won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  149. P1 19:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  150. P1 19:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Joseph Woll
  151. P1 18:43
    Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Vladislav Namestnikov in defensive zone
  152. P1 18:19
    Vladislav Namestnikov won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  153. P1 18:19
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  154. P1 17:38
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  155. P1 17:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Joseph Woll
  156. P1 17:17
    SHOT
    Philippe Myers shot blocked by Morgan Barron
  157. P1 17:14
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  158. P1 17:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  159. P1 17:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Eric Comrie
  160. P1 16:45
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  161. P1 16:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  162. P1 16:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vladislav Namestnikov
  163. P1 16:06
    Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Josh Morrissey in defensive zone
  164. P1 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Morrissey
  165. P1 15:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Neal Pionk
  166. P1 15:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Koepke saved by Joseph Woll
  167. P1 15:20
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
  168. P1 14:44
    SHOT
    Colin Miller shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  169. P1 14:09
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  170. P1 14:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by Joseph Woll
  171. P1 13:25
    Adam Lowry credited with hit on Philippe Myers in offensive zone
  172. P1 13:09
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  173. P1 13:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  174. P1 13:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Eric Comrie
  175. P1 13:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Maple Leafs
  176. P1 12:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Eric Comrie
  177. P1 12:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  178. P1 12:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Koepke saved by Joseph Woll
  179. P1 11:36
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  180. P1 11:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  181. P1 11:09
    Scott Laughton credited with hit on Colin Miller in offensive zone
  182. P1 10:46
    SHOT
    Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  183. P1 09:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  184. P1 09:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Neal Pionk
  185. P1 09:30
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  186. P1 09:30
    Stoppage - Icing
  187. P1 09:05
    John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in defensive zone
  188. P1 09:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  189. P1 09:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gustav Nyquist saved by Joseph Woll
  190. P1 08:44
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
  191. P1 08:44
    Stoppage - Offside
  192. P1 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Koepke
  193. P1 08:29
    Vladislav Namestnikov won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  194. P1 08:29
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  195. P1 08:04
    Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
  196. P1 08:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  197. P1 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Joseph Woll
  198. P1 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  199. P1 07:01
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  200. P1 07:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  201. P1 06:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  202. P1 06:32
    John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  203. P1 06:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  204. P1 05:17
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  205. P1 04:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  206. P1 04:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Kyle Connor shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
  207. P1 03:47
    Power play - Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  208. P1 03:47
    Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Colin Miller)
  209. P1 03:26
    SHOT
    Scott Laughton shot blocked by Vladislav Namestnikov
  210. P1 03:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
  211. P1 03:11
    SHOT
    Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Vladislav Namestnikov
  212. P1 02:58
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by Colin Miller
  213. P1 02:38
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in defensive zone
  214. P1 02:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  215. P1 02:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Joseph Woll
  216. P1 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Joseph Woll
  217. P1 01:16
    Takeaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
  218. P1 01:11
    Jets won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
  219. P1 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  220. P1 00:30
    Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Dylan DeMelo in defensive zone
  221. P1 00:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Joseph Woll
  222. P1 00:00
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
  223. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Jets
STATS
Maple Leafs
40Shots on Goal30
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
17Hits23
12 Shots Blocked 11
14Giveaways15
JetsWPG
Maple LeafsTOR
40Shots on Goal30
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
17Hits23
12 Shots Blocked 11
14Giveaways15

Jets vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Jets vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Jets +120, Maple Leafs -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Jets: 45%
  • Maple Leafs: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jets a win probability of 45%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Jets in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jets vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.