Lightning vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Kings NHL game on January 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Lightning
5
3
Crypto.com Arena
Kings
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TEAM123T
Lightning
1 1 3 5
Kings
2 0 1 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    100%
  • Kings
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
1 1 3 5
Kings
2 0 1 3
P3 19:33 Erik Cernak shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
P3 19:15 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Darren Raddysh and Brandon Hagel (Empty Net)
P3 18:19 Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Anthony Cirelli
P3 18:17 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
P3 18:14 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 16:18 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 15:59 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 14:36 Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 14:26 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 13:10 Shot missed by Quinton Byfield
P3 12:37 Nick Paul shot blocked by Alex Turcotte
P3 12:33 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 12:29 Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 12:03 Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
P3 12:02 Shot on goal by Kings saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:47 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 11:18 Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:00 Shot on goal by Joel Edmundson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:52 Shot missed by Anze Kopitar
P3 10:45 Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:33
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
  3. P3 19:15
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:15
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Darren Raddysh and Brandon Hagel (Empty Net)
    5-3
  5. P3 18:19
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in neutral zone
  6. P3 18:19
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Anthony Cirelli
    4-3
  7. P3 18:17
    SHOT
    Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
  8. P3 18:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Darcy Kuemper
  9. P3 17:38
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  10. P3 16:59
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Drew Doughty in offensive zone
  11. P3 16:41
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in neutral zone
  12. P3 16:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Darcy Kuemper
  13. P3 15:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Darcy Kuemper
  14. P3 15:14
    Takeaway by Warren Foegele in defensive zone
  15. P3 14:58
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in neutral zone
  16. P3 14:58
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  17. P3 14:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
  18. P3 14:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Darcy Kuemper
  19. P3 14:14
    Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
  20. P3 13:54
    Giveaway by Warren Foegele in neutral zone
  21. P3 13:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Quinton Byfield
  22. P3 12:48
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  23. P3 12:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  24. P3 12:37
    SHOT
    Nick Paul shot blocked by Alex Turcotte
  25. P3 12:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  26. P3 12:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  27. P3 12:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
  28. P3 12:02
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  29. P3 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kings saved by Jonas Johansson
  30. P3 12:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  31. P3 11:48
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  32. P3 11:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  33. P3 11:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Darcy Kuemper
  34. P3 11:34
    Giveaway by Alex Turcotte in neutral zone
  35. P3 11:24
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
  36. P3 11:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  37. P3 11:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
  38. P3 11:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Edmundson saved by Jonas Johansson
  39. P3 10:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anze Kopitar
  40. P3 10:45
    SHOT
    Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  41. P3 10:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Jonas Johansson
  42. P3 10:16
    Takeaway by Alex Laferriere in defensive zone
  43. P3 09:41
    Mikey Anderson credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
  44. P3 09:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  45. P3 09:24
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in offensive zone
  46. P3 09:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  47. P3 09:22
    SHOT
    Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
  48. P3 09:07
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
  49. P3 08:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrei Kuzmenko
  50. P3 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Fiala saved by Jonas Johansson
  51. P3 07:29
    Shorthanded - Joel Armia credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  52. P3 06:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Darcy Kuemper
  53. P3 06:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  54. P3 05:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
  55. P3 05:33
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in offensive zone
  56. P3 05:27
    SHOT
    Drew Doughty shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
  57. P3 04:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Jonas Johansson
  58. P3 04:33
    Alex Laferriere credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
  59. P3 04:17
    Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  60. P3 04:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  61. P3 03:48
    Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  62. P3 03:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  63. P3 03:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brian Dumoulin
  64. P3 02:41
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in defensive zone
  65. P3 02:41
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  66. P3 02:34
    SHOT
    Joel Armia shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  67. P3 01:55
    SHOT
    Drew Doughty shot blocked by Dominic James
  68. P3 01:51
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  69. P3 01:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  70. P3 01:37
    Samuel Helenius won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  71. P3 01:37
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Kevin Fiala
    2-3
  72. P3 00:58
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Corey Perry in defensive zone
  73. P3 00:58
    Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Quinton Byfield)
  74. P3 00:40
    Takeaway by Brandt Clarke in defensive zone
  75. P3 00:21
    Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  76. P3 00:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  77. P3 00:00
    Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  78. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  79. P2 19:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Darcy Kuemper
  80. P2 19:35
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
  81. P2 18:47
    Giveaway by Anze Kopitar in offensive zone
  82. P2 18:31
    Giveaway by Andrei Kuzmenko in offensive zone
  83. P2 18:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Turcotte
  84. P2 18:07
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  85. P2 18:07
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Darren Raddysh and J.J. Moser
    2-2
  86. P2 17:25
    Warren Foegele credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  87. P2 17:20
    Jeff Malott credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  88. P2 17:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  89. P2 17:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  90. P2 17:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Quinton Byfield
  91. P2 16:45
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in defensive zone
  92. P2 16:43
    SHOT
    Warren Foegele shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  93. P2 16:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Warren Foegele
  94. P2 15:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Joel Armia
  95. P2 15:37
    Power play - Anze Kopitar credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  96. P2 15:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Laferriere
  97. P2 15:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Kevin Fiala shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  98. P2 14:37
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Darcy Kuemper
  99. P2 14:12
    Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in defensive zone
  100. P2 14:12
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  101. P2 14:12
    Penalty to Declan Carlile 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Kevin Fiala)
  102. P2 13:59
    Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Andrei Kuzmenko in offensive zone
  103. P2 13:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  104. P2 13:34
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  105. P2 13:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  106. P2 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Darcy Kuemper
  107. P2 13:16
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  108. P2 13:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P2 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Darcy Kuemper
  110. P2 13:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Darcy Kuemper
  111. P2 12:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Cernak
  112. P2 12:29
    Dominic James won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in offensive zone
  113. P2 12:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  114. P2 12:27
    SHOT
    Dominic James shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
  115. P2 11:45
    Giveaway by Brian Dumoulin in defensive zone
  116. P2 11:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  117. P2 11:25
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in offensive zone
  118. P2 11:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  119. P2 10:57
    Giveaway by Cody Ceci in offensive zone
  120. P2 10:39
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
  121. P2 10:08
    Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Adrian Kempe in offensive zone
  122. P2 10:05
    Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  123. P2 10:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  124. P2 09:09
    Kevin Fiala won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  125. P2 09:09
    Lightning won faceoff against Kings in neutral zone
  126. P2 09:09
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  127. P2 08:18
    Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  128. P2 08:13
    J.J. Moser credited with hit on Joel Armia in defensive zone
  129. P2 07:11
    Giveaway by Anze Kopitar in neutral zone
  130. P2 06:51
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Laferriere in neutral zone
  131. P2 06:51
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  132. P2 06:07
    Takeaway by Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  133. P2 05:53
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  134. P2 05:53
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  135. P2 05:52
    SHOT
    Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by Max Crozier
  136. P2 05:12
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in neutral zone
  137. P2 05:12
    Stoppage - Offside
  138. P2 04:16
    Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in offensive zone
  139. P2 04:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  140. P2 04:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Darcy Kuemper
  141. P2 03:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adrian Kempe
  142. P2 03:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandt Clarke
  143. P2 03:09
    Dominic James won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in defensive zone
  144. P2 03:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  145. P2 03:07
    SHOT
    Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Max Crozier
  146. P2 01:55
    Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  147. P2 01:38
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Drew Doughty
  148. P2 01:37
    Giveaway by Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
  149. P2 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
  150. P2 01:06
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
  151. P2 01:06
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  152. P2 01:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Jonas Johansson
  153. P2 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in neutral zone
  154. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  155. P1 19:12
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Andrei Kuzmenko
  156. P1 17:28
    Mikey Anderson credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  157. P1 17:27
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
  158. P1 17:21
    Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  159. P1 17:17
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Anze Kopitar
  160. P1 16:57
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
  161. P1 16:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Darcy Kuemper
  162. P1 16:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  163. P1 16:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  164. P1 15:55
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  165. P1 15:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  166. P1 15:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Darcy Kuemper
  167. P1 15:45
    SHOT
    Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
  168. P1 15:39
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
  169. P1 15:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  170. P1 15:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Jonas Johansson
  171. P1 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Jonas Johansson
  172. P1 15:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Warren Foegele
  173. P1 14:14
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
  174. P1 14:12
    Giveaway by Mikey Anderson in defensive zone
  175. P1 14:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
  176. P1 13:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  177. P1 13:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Darcy Kuemper
  178. P1 13:46
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
  179. P1 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  180. P1 13:24
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in defensive zone
  181. P1 13:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  182. P1 13:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jonas Johansson
  183. P1 12:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Darcy Kuemper
  184. P1 11:42
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Anze Kopitar
  185. P1 10:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Jonas Johansson
  186. P1 10:01
    Jeff Malott credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
  187. P1 10:01
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jeff Malott
  188. P1 09:04
    Giveaway by Max Crozier in defensive zone
  189. P1 08:18
    Dominic James won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
  190. P1 08:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  191. P1 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
  192. P1 08:12
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  193. P1 08:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  194. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Alex Turcotte shot blocked by Max Crozier
  195. P1 07:45
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
  196. P1 06:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Darcy Kuemper
  197. P1 06:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  198. P1 06:14
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  199. P1 06:14
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Andrei Kuzmenko
    1-2
  200. P1 06:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Andrei Kuzmenko shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  201. P1 06:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Kevin Fiala shot blocked by teammate
  202. P1 05:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Quinton Byfield shot blocked by teammate
  203. P1 05:43
    Power play - Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  204. P1 05:43
    Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for Misconduct
  205. P1 04:43
    Dominic James won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in neutral zone
  206. P1 04:43
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jeff Malott assisted by Corey Perry
    1-1
  207. P1 03:53
    Giveaway by Brandt Clarke in offensive zone
  208. P1 03:47
    Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  209. P1 03:34
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in neutral zone
  210. P1 03:34
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
    1-1
  211. P1 03:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Darcy Kuemper
  212. P1 02:56
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Joel Edmundson in defensive zone
  213. P1 02:52
    Shorthanded - Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  214. P1 02:52
    Penalty to Anze Kopitar 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dominic James)
  215. P1 02:43
    Dominic James won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in offensive zone
  216. P1 02:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  217. P1 02:36
    Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  218. P1 02:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  219. P1 02:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  220. P1 01:43
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Alex Laferriere in defensive zone
  221. P1 01:30
    SHOT
    Quinton Byfield shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  222. P1 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  223. P1 00:59
    Joel Armia credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
  224. P1 00:46
    Giveaway by Joel Armia in defensive zone
  225. P1 00:22
    Adrian Kempe credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  226. P1 00:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Edmundson saved by Jonas Johansson
  227. P1 00:14
    Adrian Kempe credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
  228. P1 00:00
    Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  229. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Kings
24Shots on Goal20
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
11Penalty Infraction Mins9
22Hits20
12 Shots Blocked 21
10Giveaways19
LightningTB
KingsLA
24Shots on Goal20
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
11Penalty Infraction Mins9
22Hits20
12 Shots Blocked 21
10Giveaways19

Lightning vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Kings
  • Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Kings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +108, Kings -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 50%
  • Kings: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 50%, while the Kings have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Kings in the NHL game at Crypto.com Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.