Senators vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Red Wings NHL game on January 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Senators
3
4
Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM123OTT
Senators
2 1 0 0 3
Red Wings
1 2 0 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senators
    0%
  • Red Wings
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Senators
2 1 0 0 3
Red Wings
1 2 0 1 4
P3 19:58 Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 19:45 Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 18:14 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by John Gibson
P3 17:02 Shot missed by Albert Johansson
P3 16:52 Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P3 16:08 Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by James Reimer
P3 15:24 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 13:05 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Marco Kasper
P3 12:05 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by John Gibson
P3 10:36 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by John Gibson
P3 08:43 Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by James Reimer
P3 07:29 Ridly Greig shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:25 Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by James Reimer
P3 05:21 Shot missed by J.T. Compher
P3 04:31 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by John Gibson
P3 03:13 Mason Appleton shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 02:27 Power play - J.T. Compher shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 01:42 Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by James Reimer
P2 19:04 Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P2 18:16 Power play - Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by John Gibson
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 00:00
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  3. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  4. P3 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  5. P3 19:45
    SHOT
    Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  6. P3 19:14
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Red Wings in defensive zone
  7. P3 19:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  8. P3 19:07
    Stoppage - Offside
  9. P3 18:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by John Gibson
  10. P3 17:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Albert Johansson
  11. P3 16:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
  12. P3 16:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by James Reimer
  13. P3 15:26
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  14. P3 15:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  15. P3 13:51
    Thomas Chabot credited with hit on Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
  16. P3 13:05
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Marco Kasper
  17. P3 12:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by John Gibson
  18. P3 11:17
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  19. P3 10:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by John Gibson
  20. P3 09:55
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
  21. P3 09:42
    Marco Kasper credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
  22. P3 09:39
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  23. P3 09:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  24. P3 08:55
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  25. P3 08:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  26. P3 08:51
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  27. P3 08:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  28. P3 08:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by James Reimer
  29. P3 07:32
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  30. P3 07:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  31. P3 07:29
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by teammate
  32. P3 06:57
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  33. P3 06:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by James Reimer
  34. P3 05:50
    Stoppage - Offside
  35. P3 05:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Compher
  36. P3 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by John Gibson
  37. P3 03:13
    SHOT
    Mason Appleton shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  38. P3 02:27
    SHOT
    Power play - J.T. Compher shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  39. P3 02:14
    Senators won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  40. P3 02:10
    Power play - Andrew Copp won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  41. P3 02:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  42. P3 01:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by James Reimer
  43. P3 00:49
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  44. P3 00:00
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  45. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  46. P2 19:40
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  47. P2 19:39
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  48. P2 19:05
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  49. P2 19:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  50. P2 18:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by John Gibson
  51. P2 18:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Claude Giroux shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  52. P2 18:00
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  53. P2 16:53
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  54. P2 16:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by James Reimer
  55. P2 16:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by James Reimer
  56. P2 16:17
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  57. P2 16:17
    Penalty to David Perron 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Emmitt Finnie)
  58. P2 15:27
    SHOT
    Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Claude Giroux
  59. P2 14:36
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  60. P2 13:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by James Reimer
  61. P2 13:44
    Giveaway by Artem Zub in offensive zone
  62. P2 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by James Reimer
  63. P2 12:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  64. P2 12:40
    SHOT
    Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  65. P2 12:25
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  66. P2 11:40
    Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
  67. P2 11:35
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
  68. P2 10:45
    Power play - Giveaway by James van Riemsdyk in offensive zone
  69. P2 09:58
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against James van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
  70. P2 09:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by James Reimer
  71. P2 09:42
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  72. P2 09:42
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
  73. P2 09:41
    SHOT
    Claude Giroux shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  74. P2 09:05
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  75. P2 08:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
  76. P2 07:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by John Gibson
  77. P2 07:29
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
  78. P2 07:21
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  79. P2 06:50
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Alex DeBrincat in neutral zone
  80. P2 06:50
    Stoppage - Offside
  81. P2 06:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by John Gibson
  82. P2 06:06
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  83. P2 06:06
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Lucas Raymond
    2-2
  84. P2 05:54
    SHOT
    Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Shane Pinto
  85. P2 04:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by James Reimer
  86. P2 04:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by John Gibson
  87. P2 04:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
  88. P2 03:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mason Appleton
  89. P2 02:10
    SHOT
    Moritz Seider shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  90. P2 01:32
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  91. P2 01:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  92. P2 01:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by James Reimer
  93. P2 00:33
    Senators won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  94. P2 00:00
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  95. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  96. P1 19:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
  97. P1 19:02
    Senators won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  98. P1 19:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  99. P1 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by John Gibson
  100. P1 18:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  101. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  102. P1 17:00
    Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  103. P1 17:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  104. P1 16:56
    Senators won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  105. P1 16:36
    Lars Eller won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  106. P1 16:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  107. P1 16:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by John Gibson
  108. P1 15:37
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
  109. P1 15:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P1 15:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by John Gibson
  111. P1 15:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by James Reimer
  112. P1 14:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  113. P1 14:31
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  114. P1 13:48
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
  115. P1 13:35
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  116. P1 13:16
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  117. P1 13:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  118. P1 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by James Reimer
  119. P1 12:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  120. P1 12:10
    Senators won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  121. P1 10:29
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
  122. P1 10:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  123. P1 09:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
  124. P1 08:22
    Power play - Alex DeBrincat won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  125. P1 08:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by James Reimer
  126. P1 08:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  127. P1 08:00
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  128. P1 08:00
    Penalty to Drake Batherson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  129. P1 07:14
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Axel Sandin-Pellikka assisted by Patrick Kane and J.T. Compher
    2-1
  130. P1 06:37
    Power play - Andrew Copp won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  131. P1 06:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  132. P1 05:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by teammate
  133. P1 05:22
    Penalty to Nick Cousins 2 minutes for Elbowing (Drawn by Moritz Seider)
  134. P1 05:05
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Cozens assisted by Brady Tkachuk and Drake Batherson
    2-0
  135. P1 04:26
    Alex DeBrincat won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  136. P1 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by John Gibson
  137. P1 03:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  138. P1 03:17
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  139. P1 03:15
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  140. P1 02:39
    SHOT
    Mason Appleton shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  141. P1 02:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen
  142. P1 01:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by James Reimer
  143. P1 01:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by James Reimer
  144. P1 00:09
    Marco Kasper credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
  145. P1 00:00
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Ridly Greig
Stats
Senators
STATS
Red Wings
22Shots on Goal34
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/2
14Penalty Infraction Mins10
24Hits19
10 Shots Blocked 11
11Giveaways18
SenatorsOTT
Red WingsDET
22Shots on Goal34
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/2
14Penalty Infraction Mins10
24Hits19
10 Shots Blocked 11
11Giveaways18

Senators vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators +112, Red Wings -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 47%
  • Red Wings: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 47%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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