Canadiens vs. Blackhawks prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 23, 2026

The Montreal Canadiens are favored to beat the Chicago Blackhawks on Friday, according to Dimers' NHL pregame model.

Our Canadiens vs. Blackhawks prediction gives Montreal a 60.0% chance of winning at United Center, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value lies in under 6.5 goals.

Canadiens vs. Blackhawks: Key predictions

• Canadiens win probability: 60.0%
• Blackhawks win probability: 39.9%
• Blackhawks +1.5 puck line: 62.6% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 55.7% probability

Dimers' NHL pregame model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent form, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

These projections power our NHL predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the puck line, and the total goals going over or under the betting line.

Canadiens vs. Blackhawks odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets monitored by Dimers.

• Canadiens moneyline: -150 (BetRivers)
• Blackhawks moneyline: 40¢ (Novig)
• Canadiens -1.5: +165 (BetRivers)
• Blackhawks +1.5: 62¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 48¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: -115 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Under 6.5 (-115)

The Canadiens may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is under 6.5 total goals at -115, available at Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds imply a 53.5% chance of the game finishing under 6.5 goals, while our model puts that probability at 55.7%.

That's a 2.2% edge on the under, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Canadiens vs. Blackhawks goal-scorer predictions

Unlike our NHL pregame model, Dimers' NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, the opposing team, and projected team goals.

Cole Caufield of the Canadiens leads Friday's anytime goal-scorer projections at 49.2%, followed by Chicago's Roman Kantserov (33.2%). Caufield also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 10.9%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

• Cole Caufield (Canadiens): 49.2%
• Roman Kantserov (Blackhawks): 33.2%
• Connor Bedard (Blackhawks): 30.9%
• Tyler Bertuzzi (Blackhawks): 30.4%
• Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens): 28.3%

First goal-scorer predictions

• Cole Caufield (Canadiens): 10.9%
• Roman Kantserov (Blackhawks): 6.4%
• Tyler Bertuzzi (Blackhawks): 5.9%
• Connor Bedard (Blackhawks): 5.8%
• Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens): 5.5%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Canadiens vs. Blackhawks predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Friday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets.

See our full range of Canadiens vs. Blackhawks predictions.

Canadiens vs. Blackhawks game details

• Matchup: Montreal Canadiens vs. Chicago Blackhawks
• Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
• Puck drop: 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT
• Venue: United Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NHL models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.