NFL player props today: Week 9 best props include Roschon Johnson [11/8/2026]

Roschon Johnson under 5.5 rushing attempts (-133)

• Edge: 29.0%
• Probability: 86.1%
• Game: Buccaneers vs. Bears (8:20PM ET)

Our model has found value on Bears' Roschon Johnson under 5.5 rushing attempts. A probability of 86.1% gives this play an edge of 29.0% at -133 odds.

Joe Milton III under 22.5 rushing yards (-105)

• Edge: 33.2%
• Probability: 84.4%
• Projection: 11.5
• Game: Giants vs. Eagles (1:00PM ET)

Joe Milton III’s rushing yards prop shows a 33.2% edge at -105 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 11.5 rushing yards on the under 22.5 line.

Noah Fant over 0.5 receptions (-165)

• Edge: 12.7%
• Probability: 75.0%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Browns vs. Saints (1:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Noah Fant over 0.5 receptions, with simulations showing a 75.0% probability and a 12.7% edge at -165.

J.J. McCarthy under 1.5 passing touchdowns (69¢)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 71.7%
• Game: Giants vs. Eagles (1:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on J.J. McCarthy under 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 71.7% probability and an edge of 3.2% at 69¢ odds.

Gregory Desrosiers over 9.5 rushing yards (59¢)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 69.6%
• Projection: 19.6
• Game: Giants vs. Eagles (1:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Gregory Desrosiers over 9.5 rushing yards for Giants, showing an edge of 10.9% at 59¢ odds.

Dalton Schultz under 4.5 receptions (-167)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 68.0%
• Projection: 3.7
• Game: Texans vs. Chargers (4:05PM ET)

Dalton Schultz’s receptions prop shows an edge of 5.5% at -167 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 3.7 today.

Savion Williams over 1.5 receptions (63¢)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 67.7%
• Projection: 2.3
• Game: Packers vs. Patriots (4:25PM ET)

Our model projects Savion Williams for 2.3 receptions for Packers, creating an edge of 5.0% on over 1.5 at 63¢ odds.

Khalil Herbert over 7.5 rushing yards (-113)

• Edge: 14.4%
• Probability: 67.5%
• Projection: 16.5
• Game: Bengals vs. Falcons (9:30AM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Khalil Herbert for 16.5 rushing yards, creating value on the over 7.5 line at -113 odds and a 14.4% edge.

Denzel Boston under 3.5 receptions (-165)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Projection: 2.9
• Game: Browns vs. Saints (1:00PM ET)

A 5.1% edge on the under 7.5 receptions line makes Denzel Boston a value play in Browns vs. Saints, with our model projecting him for 2.9 receptions at -165 odds.

George Kittle under 6.5 receptions (-151)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 67.3%
• Projection: 5.6
• Game: Raiders vs. 49ers (4:25PM ET)

Simulations project George Kittle for 5.6 receptions here, creating a 7.1% edge on the under 6.5 line at -151 odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:11AM ET:

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Today's player props include Roschon Johnson under 5.5 rushing attempts. Make the most of them with this DraftKings Predicts offer:

Conclusion

For November 8, 2026, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Roschon Johnson, Joe Milton III and Noah Fant. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.