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WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday include A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Mitchell [8/3/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert analysis on Sunday's WNBA first basket market.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely WNBA first basket scorers for Sunday have been revealed.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday, August 3, 2025, have landed—with A'ja Wilson of the Aces the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's first basket predictions come straight from our WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.


Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 3, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Sunday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
A'ja Wilson (Aces) 16.9%
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) 16.2%
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm) 15.7%
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) 🔒
Elizabeth Williams (Sky) 🔒
Shakira Austin (Mystics) 🔒
Tina Charles (Sun) 🔒
Brionna Jones (Dream) 🔒
Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) 🔒
Jonquel Jones (Liberty) 🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is A'ja Wilson, with a probability of 16.9%.

Following Wilson closely are Kelsey Mitchell at 16.2% and Nneka Ogwumike at 15.7%.

Alyssa Thomas and Elizabeth Williams are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Sunday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

A'ja Wilson makes a layup.
A'ja Wilson is one of the most likely WNBA players to score the first basket on Sunday, August 3, 2025.

Best WNBA first basket picks [8/3/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA matchups 10K times each, our predictive model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Fever and Storm. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 5.1% according to our analysis.

Not only does Mitchell present an edge according to our model, but she is also among our top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

 

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [8/3/2025]

Conclusion

For August 3, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight star players like A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Mitchell and Nneka Ogwumike—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 5.1% edge at +800 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable basis for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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