Aces vs. Sky prediction: Why Las Vegas is favored to win Saturday's WNBA game [8/1/2026]

The Chicago Sky will face the favored Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at Wintrust Arena on Saturday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner in this Aces vs. Sky prediction.

The Sky, powered by Sydney Taylor, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Aces, featuring A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Aces vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Aces a 71.8% chance of defeating the Sky.

According to our model, the Sky (+6.5) have a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 183.5-point over/under has a 71.2% chance of staying under,.

Aces vs. Sky odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Aces	Sky
Spread	-6.5 (+113)	+6.5 (-117)
Moneyline	-230	+223
Total	o183.5 (-104)	u183.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aces vs. Sky picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Aces -6.5	+113
Moneyline	Aces	-230
Total	Under 183.5	+100

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 183.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Aces vs. Sky player props

WNBA player props are a great way to wager on Saturday's Aces vs. Sky game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 32 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists, while Sydney Taylor is projected to have 21 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sky.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Aces prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	32	11	4	2	64
Jackie Young	20	4	7	2	40
Chelsea Gray	12	3	7	2	33
NaLyssa Smith	10	5	1	0	21
Jewell Loyd	9	3	1	2	20

Sky prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Sydney Taylor	21	2	2	3	31
Kamilla Cardoso	14	8	3	0	32
Natasha Cloud	12	4	4	1	27
C. Vandersloot	8	3	4	1	21
D. Carrington	8	3	1	0	15

Aces vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Sky and Aces at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky
• Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Wintrust Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 71.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.