WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday include Napheesa Collier, Breanna Stewart [7/6/2025]

This Sunday, July 6th, we have another big day of WNBA basketball upon us, headlined by the Storm's matchup against the Liberty at 1:00PM ET.

After reviewing Sunday's WNBA simulations this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have produced their best first basket bet of the day.

Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Sunday.

Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.

WNBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent injury reports, Sunday's WNBA games are expected to feature players such as Napheesa Collier, Breanna Stewart and A'ja Wilson, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for July 6, 2025]

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 16.4%.

Thanks to simulating Sunday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	16.4%
Breanna Stewart (Liberty)	14.8%
A'ja Wilson (Aces)	14.4%
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)	14.0%
Ariel Atkins (Sky)	13.4%
Angel Reese (Sky)	13.0%
Tina Charles (Sun)	12.8%
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)	12.4%
Jackie Young (Aces)	11.9%
Courtney Williams (Lynx)	11.2%

Following Collier closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Breanna Stewart at 14.8% and A'ja Wilson at 14.4%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [7/6/2025]

After simulating the outcome of today's WNBA matchups 10,000 times each, our trusted predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Sunday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Erica Wheeler To Score First Basket

• Odds: +1500
• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 10.1%
• Matchup: Storm vs. Liberty (1:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Storm and Liberty. The bet is on Erica Wheeler (SEA) at odds of +1500 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.9% according to our analysis.

Dimers' model not only features Wheeler for her 3.9% betting edge but also ranks her among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the above list.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

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WNBA Schedule for Today [7/6/2025]

• Storm vs. Liberty (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Aces vs. Sun (4:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Sky vs. Lynx (7:00PM ET, Sunday)

Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: July 6, 2025

This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for July 6, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, July 6, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

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Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available WNBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

More on WNBA

This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.

For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.