Sky vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Saturday's WNBA game [9/19/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Sky and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dream an 84.3% chance of beating the Sky. According to our model, the Sky (+14.5) have a 65.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 176.5 points has a 50.2% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sky +14.5 (+104) / Dream -14.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Sky +750, Dream -733
• Total: Over/Under 176.5 (-106/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sky +14.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Sky @ +750 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 176.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sky +14.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Chicago vs. Atlanta matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Kamilla Cardoso is expected to lead the Sky with 13 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 18 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Dream.

When evaluating the first basket market, Sydney Taylor is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.5% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sky player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kamilla Cardoso	13	8	2	0	32
Sydney Taylor	13	2	3	2	22
C. Vandersloot	10	3	5	1	27
Natasha Cloud	9	3	4	1	23
Gabriela Jaquez	8	4	1	1	16

Dream player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	18	5	4	2	35
Rhyne Howard	16	3	4	3	34
Angel Reese	15	11	3	0	40
Jordin Canada	11	3	7	1	31
Naz Hillmon	8	4	2	2	19

Game info & tip-off details

Saturday's game between the Dream and Sky at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with an 84.3% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.