Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys updated prediction featuring Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Javonte Williams [Week 7, 2025]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders in Week 7, with our model giving the Commanders a 56% of winning against the Cowboys on Sunday.

This update builds on our early Cowboys-Commanders predictions, producing renewed win probabilities, score projections, and TD predictions for Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Javonte Williams, and more.

For the most accurate simulation-based insights—including spread and total picks, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Commanders vs. Cowboys page.

What's changed? Washington vs. Dallas updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Commanders vs. Cowboys matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasted:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Commanders 56%, Cowboys 44%
• Predicted Final Score: Commanders 27-25 Cowboys
• Spread: Commanders (-2.5) 47%, Cowboys (+2.5) 53%
• Total Points (55.5): Over 45%, Under 55%

As of October 15, 2025, these Commanders-Cowboys numbers reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New NFL player projections for Week 7 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Commanders-Cowboys on Sunday:

Washington Commanders

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 48.1% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 39.6% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 37.5% probability

Dallas Cowboys

• Javonte Williams: 52.7% probability
• George Pickens: 39.5% probability
• CeeDee Lamb: 36.1% probability

Commanders vs. Cowboys latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Commanders -2.5 (-108), Cowboys +2.5 (-112)
• Moneyline: Commanders -126, Cowboys +114
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-108/-112)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Week 7 details

The NFL Week 7 game between the Cowboys and Commanders at AT&T Stadium is scheduled for October 19, 2025.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys
• Date: Sunday, October 19, 2025
• Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: AT&T Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Week 7 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Commanders vs. Cowboys matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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